Sunderland
Fulham| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H33%D31%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D29%A29% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D30%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H38%D34%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H32%D34%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H43%D28%A29% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–0 | H42%D28%A30% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Sunderland's Stadium of Light record under Le Bris is built on defensive structure and clean sheets, while Fulham have been the weakest travellers among ever-presents and rarely start away campaigns well. Expect a tight, low-scoring game where Sunderland's slight home edge is offset by their modest conversion, making a level scoreline a very live outcome.
Fulham have a strong historical record at the Stadium of Light (W4 D3 L1) and have scored five in two games this term, but their poor 2026 away form (W1 D4 L5) and Sunderland's home defensive resilience under Le Bris point to a tight contest. Sunderland's tactical shift to pressing high rather than dominating possession should suit them better, making a score draw the most plausible outcome.
Sunderland boast a resilient defensive record at the Stadium of Light, while Fulham have struggled consistently on their travels despite a productive start in front of goal.
Sunderland show strong home resilience and tactical discipline under Le Bris, but Fulham have a historically strong record at the Stadium of Light and a potent start to the season scoring five goals in two games. Given Fulham's poor overall away form in 2026 and Sunderland's tendency to struggle when dominating possession, a closely contested draw is highly probable.
Sunderland's home resilience (clean sheets in nearly half of recent home games) and Fulham's league-worst away return in 2026 (W1 D4 L5) give the hosts a slight edge, but Fulham's five goals in two games and strong record at the Stadium of Light (4 wins in 8 visits) point to a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
Both sides are coming off defeats, and the data points in opposing directions: Sunderland are tactically resilient at home with frequent clean sheets, but they have a poor historical record when dominating possession (lost 50% when >50% possession), while Fulham have the worst away points tally of any ever-present PL side in 2026 yet a strong historical record at the Stadium of Light (4 wins in 8 visits). A tight, low-scoring draw with goals from set pieces or a Brobbey-led counter looks the modal outcome, with slight home-edge reflecting venue and Fulham's well-documented travel struggles.
Sunderland’s tactical resilience at home and Fulham’s struggles away from home, combined with both teams’ recent defensive solidity and hunger for points after losses, make a draw the most balanced outcome. Fulham’s historical success at the Stadium of Light and Sunderland’s possession-based vulnerabilities further support this.
Sunderland are defensively resilient at home (clean sheets in nearly half of recent home games) and Fulham have the worst away record of any ever-present PL side in 2026 (W1 D4 L5), tilting this toward the hosts. However, Fulham's strong historical record at the Stadium of Light (4 wins in 8 visits) and both sides arriving off opening-day defeats keep the draw and away win very much in play.
Sunderland's home resilience (clean sheets in ~50% of games) and tactical shift to high pressing under Le Bris counter Fulham's hot early scoring (5 goals in 2 games) but historically dismal away form (7 points in 2026). Both sides coming off defeats adds caution; draw probability leads narrowly with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline.
Sunderland’s strong home structure and Fulham’s poor recent away record give the hosts a slight edge, but Fulham’s early-season scoring form keeps this finely balanced. A competitive draw is the likeliest individual scoreline.
Sunderland's strong home defensive record (clean sheets in nearly half of recent home games) and Fulham's historically poor away form (fewest away points of any ever-present PL team in 2026) give the Black Cats a narrow edge, though Fulham's decent historical record at the Stadium of Light keeps this tight. Both sides are coming off defeats, suggesting a cautious, low-scoring affair decided by a single goal.
Sunderland hold a slight edge as first-home hosts after a solid 7th-place finish last season, facing a Fulham side with chronic away struggles (fewest points among ever-presents in 2026) despite early scoring form under new management. Defensive structure under Le Bris and clean-sheet tendencies at the Stadium of Light favour a low-scoring home win over Fulham's H2H edge.
Sunderland's strong home defensive record (clean sheets in nearly half of recent home games) and Fulham's woeful away form in 2026 (W1 D4 L5) point to a tight, low-scoring contest, but Fulham's early-season attacking output (5 goals in 2 games) and historical success at the Stadium of Light keep them competitive—making a draw the most honest single outcome.
Sunderland's strong home record and tactical discipline under Le Bris contrast with Fulham's attacking form (5 goals in 2 games) but poor overall away record in 2026; Fulham's excellent history at the Stadium of Light (4 wins in 8 visits) and both sides coming off defeats point toward a tight, closely contested match.
SunderlandFulham