Sunderland
Brighton| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H28%D25%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H21%D24%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H25%D27%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D24%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H23%D22%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D25%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H24%D27%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H23%D25%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H24%D25%A51% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H18%D22%A60% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Brighton arrive as the league's top scorers (16 in five) with three straight clean sheets against Sunderland historically, while the Black Cats have lost two in a row and are without Brobbey and Ballard, weakening both their attack and an already leaky defence. Sunderland's strong Stadium of Light record and direct, press-resistant approach keep this competitive, so a draw remains a realistic outcome.
Brighton are free-scoring and face a Sunderland side that has kept just one clean sheet in seven while conceding five to Man City last time out; Sunderland may stay competitive, but Brighton's attacking pressure should secure an away win.
Brighton's high-pressing attack and prolific scoring form under Fabian Hürzeler should give them the edge against a Sunderland defence that has struggled for clean sheets.
Brighton's league-high shot volume (~20 per game) and free-scoring start contrasts with Sunderland's leaky defence (5 conceded vs Man City, 1 clean sheet in 7) and Brighton won the last meeting 1-0, making the Seagulls narrow away favourites despite Sunderland's home effort.
Brighton's free-scoring attack (20 shots per match) faces a Sunderland defense that shipped 5 goals to Man City last time out and has managed only one clean sheet in seven Premier League outings; Brighton's tactical discipline under Hürzeler, their high press and 'backwards defending' system, plus a dominant recent head-to-head (1-0 last meeting) make them clear favorites despite the away venue.
Brighton's superior tactical organization, attacking prowess, and defensive work rate—combined with Sunderland's recent defensive vulnerabilities—make them clear favorites. However, Sunderland's home environment and Brighton's tendency to concede in transitions keep the draw and home win probabilities non-negligible.
Brighton arrive in free-scoring form, generating around 20 shots per game, and face a Sunderland defence that just conceded five to Man City with only one clean sheet in seven; Brighton's pressing structure and superior attacking depth make them clear favourites. However, Sunderland's home crowd and an experienced, tactically disciplined spine (Xhaka, Reinildo, Mukiele) can frustrate, so the draw and a narrow home upset retain honest probability.
Brighton's superior attack (20 shots/game vs Sunderland's 12) and Sunderland's defensive frailty (5 conceded vs Man City, 1 clean sheet in 7) favor the visitors, with both teams likely to score.
Brighton’s high shot volume, strong early-season form and aggressive counter-press should repeatedly test a Sunderland defence with one clean sheet in seven league matches. Sunderland’s home advantage gives them a reasonable scoring chance, but Brighton are likelier to outscore them.
Brighton are in strong attacking form, averaging 20 shots per match and scoring freely, while Sunderland's defense has been porous—conceding five to Man City recently and keeping just one clean sheet in seven. Despite the home advantage, Brighton's tactical discipline under Hürzeler and Sunderland's defensive frailties make the Seagulls clear favorites, though both teams are likely to find the net.
Brighton lead the scoring charts with 16 goals in five games and sit third after thrashing Coventry and beating Arsenal, while Sunderland have just four points, a leaky defence (10 conceded) and key injuries to Ballard and Brobbey. Home advantage and occasional tactical organisation give the Black Cats a chance of a draw or narrow reverse, but Brighton's shot volume and form make an away win the clearest outcome.
Brighton have been prolific in attack (20 shots per match) and face a Sunderland defence that conceded five to Man City and has just one clean sheet in seven; the Seagulls' intense pressing under Hurzeler should exploit Sunderland's vulnerabilities, though home support keeps this competitive.
Brighton are 3rd with the league's best goal difference and the highest goals-for total, while Sunderland are winless in four, missing key players including Brobbey, and have kept just one clean sheet in seven. Brighton's attacking firepower and defensive record against Sunderland point to an away win, though Sunderland's home scoring ability suggests they can find a goal.
SunderlandBrighton