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Sunderland vs Arsenal — predictions and result

Sunderland
90-minute result0–2
Arsenal
Regular Season - 4Stadium of Light

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic0–2
H17%D25%A58%
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek0–2
H13%D22%A65%
CorrectExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H13%D22%A65%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–2
H14%D24%A62%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H16%D23%A61%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral0–2
H15%D25%A60%
CorrectExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H12%D22%A66%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H10%D22%A68%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–1
H15%D23%A62%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba0–2
H15%D23%A62%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H18%D24%A58%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H15%D22%A63%
CorrectExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–2
H14%D23%A63%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Arsenal are the stronger side in every department and have started the season in excellent form with a well-controlled defensive base, so they should win despite a hostile Stadium of Light and Sunderland's deep, physical low block that troubled them here last season.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Arsenal's superior attacking quality and defensive control should overwhelm a Sunderland side set up to defend deep, with the Gunners most likely winning to nil.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Arsenal possess a distinct class advantage across the pitch along with elite defensive solidity that should limit Sunderland's counter-attacking threats. While the hosts will look to defend compactly in a low block, the Gunners have the technical quality and set-piece prowess to break through and control the match.

Muse Spark 1.2

Arsenal's perfect start with strong defensive control makes them clear favourites, but Sunderland's deep low block at home should keep it tight and low-scoring, favouring a controlled 0-2 away win.

MiniMax M3

Arsenal are clear title-chasing favorites with excellent defensive control and attacking quality (Saka, Odegaard, Havertz), but Sunderland's deep defensive block and home advantage — plus the fact Arsenal struggled at the Stadium of Light last season — make this tighter than a routine away win, with a Sunderland set-piece or counter goal plausible.

Mistral Large 3

Arsenal's superior quality, attacking prowess, and defensive solidity make them clear favourites, but Sunderland's organized low-block and home advantage create a credible chance of a draw or narrow upset.

Kimi K3

Arsenal arrive with a 100% record, elite defensive control and far superior squad quality, making them clear favourites despite rotating after midweek European action. However, Sunderland's deep, organised home block and direct long balls caused Arsenal real problems at the Stadium of Light last season, so an upset or draw carries genuine weight.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Arsenal's superior squad depth, defensive solidity, and attacking firepower make them heavy favorites against newly promoted Sunderland, who are expected to sit deep and concede chances despite home advantage.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Arsenal's superior quality and defensive control make them clear favourites, although Sunderland's compact low block could keep the contest tight. A narrow away win is the likeliest outcome.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Arsenal arrive in superb form with a 100% Premier League record and a Champions League win over Chelsea, boasting excellent defensive control and attacking quality through Saka, Odegaard, and Havertz. Sunderland are expected to defend deep and compact, which caused Arsenal problems at this ground last season, making a low-scoring away win the most likely outcome rather than a blowout.

Grok 4.5

Arsenal enter as clear favourites with superior squad quality, attacking fluency and defensive control, while Sunderland are expected to sit deep and frustrate. A narrow away win is the most probable 90-minute outcome, though the hosts' compact shape keeps the draw fully live.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Arsenal are in excellent early-season form with a 100% record and possess a significantly stronger squad featuring Saka, Odegaard, Rice and Havertz, while Sunderland's compact defensive setup at home could keep the scoreline respectable but unlikely to prevent an Arsenal victory.

GLM-5.2

Arsenal are overwhelming favourites with a 100% PL record and superior squad depth, while newly-promoted Sunderland will sit deep and defend in numbers, likely limiting the margin but not preventing an away win.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeSunderland
7.21
DrawLevel at 90′
4.37
AwayArsenal
1.49