Claude Opus 4.8
Forest have home advantage, strong pre-season form under Glasner, and beat Leeds 3-1 in this exact fixture last season; Leeds under Farke are solid but face a tougher task away from Elland Road to open the campaign.
Premier LeagueFull time
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds — predictions and result
Nottingham Forest90-minute result0–1
LeedsRegular Season - 1City Ground
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H51%D27%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H37%D33%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D30%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D28%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Forest have the stronger squad and home advantage at a lively City Ground, and Glasner's pre-season work reportedly has them in good shape, though a new system plus opening-day uncertainty caps their edge. Leeds under Farke are well-drilled and won this fixture at Elland Road last term, so a narrow home win or draw looks most likely.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Forest's remarkable 14-game unbeaten top-flight home run against Leeds (W7 D7) gives them a narrow edge, but Leeds' excellent pre-season form, settled 3-4-3 system under Farke, and tendency to draw away from home (9 away draws in 2025-26) make a stalemate the single most plausible outcome on the opening weekend.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Nottingham Forest begin life under Oliver Glasner and will look to leverage their strong home advantage at the City Ground. While Leeds United have built a solid squad under Daniel Farke, Forest's impressive pre-season form and new tactical setup should give them a narrow edge in this opening fixture.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Oliver Glasner begins his Nottingham Forest reign at the City Ground with a near-fully fit squad well-suited to his high-intensity tactical system. Leeds United enter Gameweek 1 hampered by key injuries to Willy Gnonto and Gabriel Gudmundsson, giving the hosts the edge in a competitive opening fixture.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Nottingham Forest begin the season with momentum under new head coach Oliver Glasner, and home advantage at the City Ground should give them a slight edge over a disciplined Leeds side in a tightly contested opener.
Gemma 4 31B
Forest have a strong home advantage at the City Ground and a new manager in Oliver Glasner, but Leeds under Daniel Farke have shown consistent progress and a decent historical record against Forest. Given it is the opening match of the season, a cautious start and a draw are highly plausible.
Muse Spark 1.2
Forest have home advantage and impressive pre-season adaptation to Glasner's system despite fifth manager in 12 months, while Leeds bring continuity under Farke and split last season's meetings 3-1 each way, pointing to a narrow, open home win.
MiniMax M3
Forest have home advantage at the City Ground where they beat Leeds 3-1 in this exact fixture last season, and new manager Oliver Glasner arrives with a strong reputation after impressive pre-season form despite being Forest's fifth manager in 12 months. Leeds, freshly promoted under Daniel Farke, historically struggle in opening away fixtures, though Farke's strong personal record against Forest (4W, 2D, 2L) keeps the contest tight.
Mistral Large 3
Nottingham Forest begin the season under a new manager with strong pre-season form and home advantage, but Leeds United's consistency under Daniel Farke and their recent competitive head-to-head record suggest a tightly contested match with a draw as a credible outcome.
Kimi K2.6
Nottingham Forest’s new-manager bounce under Oliver Glasner and home support give them a slight edge, but the absence of captain Ryan Yates and a still-gelling system against a Leeds side that impressed throughout pre-season and carries greater squad continuity makes a hard-fought draw the most likely outcome.
Kimi K3
Forest open at the City Ground where they beat Leeds 3-1 last season and should get a new-manager lift from Oliver Glasner's debut before a passionate home crowd. However, churn of five managers in 12 months creates uncertainty, while Leeds have continuity and steady progress under Daniel Farke plus an improved squad, keeping this genuinely competitive and the draw a live possibility.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Forest's new manager Glasner gets a home opener bounce against a Leeds side with Farke continuity; last season's 3-1 home win and Glasner's slight H2H edge vs Farke support a narrow home win, but season-openers and managerial instability justify a high draw probability.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Forest’s encouraging pre-season adaptation to Oliver Glasner’s system and home advantage give them a modest edge. Leeds remain capable under Daniel Farke, while the opening-day uncertainty keeps the draw and away-win probabilities substantial.
Qwen3.7 Plus
A tightly contested opener between two bottom-half sides: Forest have home advantage and finished strongly last season (17 pts from final 10 games), but are missing captain Ryan Yates and suffer from a curse where their last six permanent managers lost their first PL game. Leeds boast impressive pre-season form (9 goals, 1 conceded in last 4 friendlies) but are without Gnonto, Gudmundsson, and Joseph, and drew 9 of their last 12 away league matches — making a stalemate highly plausible.
Grok 4.5
Opening-day fixture with both sides reset under continuity (Farke) versus a new Glasner system; Forest’s home edge and pre-season adaptation are offset by Leeds’ solid organisation, making a low-scoring draw the single most probable 90-minute outcome.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Forest's new manager bounce under Glasner, home advantage at City Ground, and reported impressive pre-season form give them a slight edge, though Leeds under Farke have been steadily improving and are capable of taking something from the match. The head-to-head last season split both ways (3-1 each), suggesting another competitive, close contest.
GLM-5.2
Forest's extraordinary 14-game unbeaten home record against Leeds and Glasner's tendency to win his first league match (4 of 5 clubs) give them a slight edge, but Leeds' excellent pre-season, Farke's continuity, and their remarkable away-draw tendency (9 road draws last season) make this a closely contested opener where a stalemate is highly plausible.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeNottingham Forest
- 2.33
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 3.44
- AwayLeeds
- 3.20