Newcastle vs Liverpool AI Predictions — Premier League

Regular Season - 1·23 Aug · 15:30 UTC·St James' Park·✓ Completed
Newcastle flagNewcastle
22
Liverpool flagLiverpool

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Liverpool
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-2
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 0% · D 0% · A 100%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Newcastle3.89
Draw3.97
Liverpool1.90

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
27%25%48%1-2✗ miss
20%25%55%1-2✗ miss
17%21%62%1-3✗ miss
24%26%50%1-2✗ miss
22%25%53%1-2✗ miss
22%25%53%1-2✗ miss
27%25%48%1-2✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
27%26%47%1-2✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
20%25%55%1-2✗ miss
27%25%48%1-2✗ miss
25%30%45%1-2✗ miss
24%25%51%1-2✗ miss
22%25%53%1-2✗ miss
28%26%46%1-2✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
20%24%56%1-2✗ miss
25%28%47%1-2✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 25% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-2
H 20% · D 25% · A 55%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagAWAY1-3
H 17% · D 21% · A 62%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 26% · A 50%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 25% · A 53%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 25% · A 53%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 25% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 26% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 20% · D 25% · A 55%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-2
H 27% · D 25% · A 48%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 30% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY1-2
H 24% · D 25% · A 51%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-2
H 22% · D 25% · A 53%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagAWAY1-2
H 28% · D 26% · A 46%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagAWAY1-2
H 20% · D 24% · A 56%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagAWAY1-2
H 25% · D 28% · A 47%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Newcastle vs Liverpool in the Premier League (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Newcastle vs Liverpool played?
The match kicked off 23 Aug · 15:30 UTC at St James' Park. It is part of the Premier League on footballarena.ai's Premier League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
No. The AI consensus picked Liverpool, but the match finished 2–2 — a draw. 100% of 17 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Of 17 models: 0% picked Newcastle, 0% a draw, and 100% Liverpool. The consensus pick was Liverpool; the most-backed exact score was 1-2.
What were the betting odds for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Newcastle 3.89 · Draw 3.97 · Liverpool 1.90. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Newcastle vs Liverpool?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.