Newcastle
Liverpool| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–3 | H17%D21%A62% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H24%D26%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D30%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H24%D25%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H22%D25%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H20%D24%A56% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Liverpool retain far more elite talent (Isak, Wirtz, Van Dijk, Szoboszlai) despite Salah's exit and a new-look defence, while Newcastle are mid-rebuild after losing Howe, Bruno, Tonali and Gordon plus five injured players and a poor pre-season; St James' Park home advantage and Liverpool's defensive uncertainty keep it close and low-scoring.
Newcastle have been gutted by a summer exodus (Howe, Tonali, Guimaraes, Gordon) and arrive under a new coach on a three-match losing run, while Liverpool retain far superior attacking quality with Isak, Wirtz and Gakpo. Liverpool's own new manager and unfamiliar back line, plus a hostile St James' Park on opening day, keep the draw and a Newcastle upset realistic.
Liverpool's superior attacking unit and Newcastle's decimated midfield should give the visitors control, but a new Liverpool back line and a motivated St James' Park crowd are likely to keep Newcastle in the game.
Newcastle have endured a turbulent summer, losing key players and their manager, while Liverpool boast a formidable new-look side under Andoni Iraola featuring marquee signings like Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak. The visitors' superior firepower and tactical setup should overwhelm a depleted Newcastle squad.
Newcastle enter a new era under Matthias Jaissle following major summer player departures, while Iraola's heavily upgraded Liverpool squad features vast attacking quality. Though St James' Park offers an energetic opening-day atmosphere, Liverpool should outclass the hosts in a lively encounter.
Liverpool bring immense attacking firepower into their new tactical setup under Andoni Iraola, featuring Alexander Isak leading the line against his former club. Newcastle face a difficult opening fixture amid heavy squad turnover and several key absences under new manager Matthias Jaissle.
Newcastle is in a state of significant upheaval following the departure of Eddie Howe and key players like Bruno Guimaraes and Anthony Gordon. Liverpool, under Andoni Iraola, enters with a strong squad including Isak and Wirtz, making them clear favorites despite Newcastle's home advantage.
Liverpool's Iraola rebuild brings elite additions Isak and Wirtz and should have more quality despite a new high line, while Newcastle are depleted after losing Howe, Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes and Gordon plus five absentees and a 12th-place finish. Newcastle's pace via Barnes/Elanga can exploit that high line to score at St James' Park, but Liverpool's attack makes them narrow favourites.
Newcastle are in deep transition under new boss Jaissle after losing Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes, Gordon and head coach Howe, with five players unavailable. Liverpool, although also bedding in Iraola's system and a retooled back line, retain far more top-end quality with Wirtz, Isak (against his old club), Gakpo and Ngumoha, who scored a late winner at St James' Park last season, making them deserved favorites despite the away trip and untested defense.
Liverpool enter the season with a refreshed tactical approach under Iraola and a squad capable of exploiting Newcastle's transitional vulnerabilities, particularly with a new-look midfield and attack. Newcastle's rebuild and injury absences, combined with Liverpool's attacking depth, tilt the balance slightly toward the visitors, though the match is finely poised.
Newcastle are depleted after losing key players and a managerial change, while Liverpool possess superior talent under new manager Andoni Iraola, though an untested back line and St James' Park hostility should keep it competitive.
Liverpool's squad is clearly stronger — Isak leading the line against his former club with Wirtz, Gakpo and Ngumoha in support — while Newcastle have been gutted by the exits of Howe, Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes and Gordon, are missing five players, and lost all three pre-season matches. St James' Park on opening day plus Liverpool's brand-new back line (Frimpong, Araujo, Kerkez) gives Newcastle's pacey counters a real chance, keeping home and draw probabilities honest, but the visitors remain the most likely winners.
Liverpool arrive with a coherent Iraola system, a front four including Isak (motivated vs former club) and Ngumoha (late winner here last season), while Newcastle are in major transition under Jaissle, missing five players and having lost Tonali, Guimarães and Gordon. Opening-game rust tempers the away win probability, keeping the draw respectable.
Newcastle’s major squad turnover and five reported absences give Liverpool’s deeper, high-quality attack the edge. Liverpool’s new system and back line could still concede at St James’ Park, keeping the draw and a narrow home win plausible.
Liverpool arrive with a significantly upgraded squad (Isak, Wirtz, Frimpong, Araujo, Kerkez) under new manager Iraola, while Newcastle have been gutted of key players (Tonali, Guimaraes, Gordon) and their manager, leaving Jaissle to rebuild from a 12th-place finish on a three-match losing streak. However, Liverpool's new back line and tactical system may be vulnerable on the road in Matchday 1, keeping Newcastle competitive enough for a narrow away win.
Liverpool under Iraola start as clear favourites with a stronger rebuilt squad featuring Isak against his old club, while Newcastle are in heavy transition after Howe and key departures, missing several players and coming off pre-season losses; home advantage and early-season rust keep the draw and narrow home win live.
Newcastle have lost their entire spine (Isak, Bruno, Tonali, Gordon) and their new coach Jaissle was appointed barely three weeks ago, leaving almost no time to implement a system. Liverpool's formidable attack of Isak (returning to St James' Park with a point to prove), Wirtz, and Gakpo should exploit a depleted and disorganized Newcastle side, though the home crowd and Liverpool's own new-system teething problems may keep it competitive.
Liverpool possess superior individual quality with Isak and Wirtz fit and firing under Iraola's proven PL track record, while Newcastle's gutted squad and new manager with minimal prep time face an uphill battle despite home advantage and a strong opening-day record.
NewcastleLiverpool