Newcastle
Bournemouth| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H53%D26%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D32%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H44%D29%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H33%D37%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newcastle carry momentum from a 2-0 win at Spurs under Jaissle and have home advantage, but they have a poor recent record against Bournemouth (winless in eight, five draws) and are missing Burn, Osula and possibly Joelinton/Livramento, while Bournemouth's front line with Evanilson and Kluivert has started sharply. A tight, low-margin game with a strong draw chance.
Newcastle have started strongly under Jaissle with an unbeaten league start and new signings adding quality, while Bournemouth are winless and have repeatedly conceded costly set-piece/late goals. However, Bournemouth's excellent recent head-to-head record against Newcastle, especially at St James' Park, keeps the draw and away win probabilities significant.
Newcastle head into this fixture with strong momentum following an impressive 2-0 win away at Tottenham. While Bournemouth historically prove stubborn in this matchup, Newcastle's attacking depth and home advantage give them the edge to take all three points.
Newcastle bring home advantage and momentum from the 2-0 win at Spurs under Jaissle's vertical 4-2-3-1, but injuries to Burn, Osula, Livramento and Joelinton and Bournemouth's 8-game unbeaten run in this fixture (D5 L3) plus Evanilson's red-hot start make a tight, scoring draw the most balanced outcome.
Newcastle have home advantage and arrive with momentum from a 2-0 win at Spurs under new coach Jaissle, but the historical head-to-head heavily favors a draw — Newcastle have failed to win any of their last 8 Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (D5 L3), including a notable tendency for stalemates. Bournemouth's in-form striker Evanilson and organized squad under Iraola's system keep them well in the contest, making 1-1 the most plausible single scoreline.
Newcastle enter the match with a recent victory and home advantage, but their injury concerns and poor recent head-to-head record against Bournemouth temper expectations. Bournemouth's tactical fit under Jaissle and their ability to frustrate Newcastle in past meetings suggest a competitive fixture, with a draw or narrow home win the most likely outcomes.
Newcastle carry new-manager momentum under Jaissle and a 2-0 win at Spurs into a home game, but absences (Burn, Osula; Livramento and Joelinton only just returning) and a remarkable eight-match winless league run against Bournemouth (D5 L3) keep this genuinely open. With Evanilson in red-hot form for the Cherries, a high draw share is warranted, but St James' Park gives the hosts the edge for a narrow 2-1.
Newcastle's home advantage and recent 2-0 win over Spurs under new manager Jaissle are offset by a poor eight-match winless run against Bournemouth (D5 L3) and key defensive absences (Burn, Osula). Bournemouth's Evanilson is in strong form, making a tight, high-scoring affair likely.
Newcastle’s home advantage and recent 2-0 win at Tottenham give them a narrow edge, although injuries weaken their lineup. Bournemouth are dangerous through in-form Evanilson and are unbeaten in the last eight league meetings, making a draw a strong possibility.
Newcastle enjoy home advantage and come off a 2-0 win over Spurs under new boss Jaissle, but they have failed to win any of their last eight Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (D5 L3). Bournemouth's strong lineup featuring in-form Evanilson, Kluivert, and Petrovic makes them dangerous visitors, pointing to a tightly contested, low-scoring draw.
Newcastle enter with momentum from a 2-0 win at Spurs under Jaissle’s high-intensity system and home advantage, despite absences; Bournemouth remain competitive but Newcastle’s recent edge and attacking options make a narrow home win the most likely outcome, while respecting the sides’ historically tight H2H and the ~24% baseline draw rate.
The H2H record is heavily draw-laden (8 draws in 18 meetings, 4 in the last 6), and Bournemouth have drawn 19 Premier League games since the start of last season — more than any other side — while both teams are prone to conceding late leads. Newcastle's home advantage and recent2-0 win over Spurs is offset by their failure to beat Bournemouth in their last 8 PL meetings and key absences including Burn, Livramento, Joelinton, and Osula.
Newcastle are in strong early-season form under Jaissle (4 points from 2 games including a 2-0 win at Spurs and a 2-2 draw with Liverpool), while Bournemouth have just 1 point and have conceded late in both matches due to set-piece frailties. However, Newcastle's dire H2H record (winless in last 8 PL meetings, no home win vs Bournemouth since 2019) tempers confidence and keeps the draw and away probabilities elevated.
NewcastleBournemouth