Manchester United
Tottenham| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–0 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H51%D25%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H51%D26%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H42%D33%A25% | Missed | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H47%D29%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H43%D30%A27% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides are badly out of form, but Tottenham are bottom with just two league goals and have been toothless in attack, while United's shot volume at Old Trafford gives them the edge despite injuries to Sesko, Ugarte, Dorgu and Mazraoui. A tight, low-scoring game is likely, with a narrow home win marginally ahead of another stalemate.
Manchester United have the stronger attacking volume and home advantage, while Tottenham are bottom, winless, and have scored only twice in the league; Spurs' poor record after conceding first makes a narrow United win most likely.
Manchester United generate substantial attacking shot volume and hold home advantage against a Tottenham side that has struggled for goals and sits winless at the bottom of the table.
Manchester United at Old Trafford create the league's highest shot volume against a bottom-placed Tottenham side with two league goals and no wins, and Spurs have failed to win any of their last 48 games when conceding first; United's injuries and poor H2H (1 win in 9 vs Spurs) keep it tight and low-scoring.
Both sides are in deeply poor form: Man United are 12th and winless in four domestic games despite leading the league in shot volume, while Spurs sit bottom with just two goals scored and have lost 37 of 48 league matches when conceding first. Old Trafford gives United a marginal edge, but with both teams low on confidence and Spurs toothless in attack, a low-scoring stalemate is the single most likely outcome.
Both teams are struggling for form and consistency, with Manchester United's attacking output not translating into results and Tottenham's inability to convert possession into chances. Key absences for United and Tottenham's historic vulnerability after conceding first further balance the fixture, making a draw the most plausible single outcome despite the hosts' slight edge.
Both sides are in poor form, but United at Old Trafford generate the league's highest shot volume and face a Tottenham side bottom of the table with just two goals in five league games and a 48-match winless run when conceding first. United's injuries (Ugarte, Sesko, Mazraoui, Dorgu out) and a dire recent H2H record (1 win in 9 vs Spurs) keep the draw and away win honest.
Manchester United hold a slight edge at Old Trafford against a Tottenham side rooted to the bottom with zero wins and only two league goals; United have won the last home H2H 2-0 and Spurs have lost 29 of their last 48 matches after conceding first, though both teams' poor form keeps the draw probability elevated.
United’s stronger attacking volume and home advantage give them the edge against a Spurs side struggling to create clear chances. United’s absences and poor recent form keep the draw and away-win probabilities significant.
Manchester United are slight favorites at Old Trafford given their league-leading shot volume and Tottenham's dire form (bottom of the table, only 2 points, just 2 league goals scored). However, United's own poor run (winless in 4 domestic games) and key absences, combined with Spurs' dangerous Solanke who has 3 goals in his last 4 vs United, keep this tight and prevent a higher home probability.
United sit mid-table with superior shot volume and home advantage at Old Trafford against a winless, bottom-placed Spurs side that has scored only twice all season; both are out of form but United's attacking output and Spurs' collapse after conceding first tilt the edge to a narrow home win.
Manchester United lead the league in shots taken and have strong underlying metrics despite poor results, while Tottenham sit bottom with just 2 goals scored and no wins; United's home advantage and attacking quality should edge it, though their own inconsistency and injury absences keep it tight.
United generate the most attacking volume in the division and Tottenham's high possession style could allow Carrick's side to exploit counter-attacking situations at Old Trafford, but Spurs' strong underlying numbers and H2H record (4 wins in last 6) keep this tight, with both teams' poor finishing making a draw very live.
Manchester UnitedTottenham