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Manchester United vs Bournemouth — predictions and result

Manchester United
90-minute result0–3
Bournemouth
Regular Season - 8Old Trafford

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H35%D28%A37%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H31%D29%A40%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H44%D26%A30%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H33%D26%A41%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H42%D27%A31%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H40%D26%A34%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H32%D28%A40%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H39%D28%A33%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H34%D28%A38%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H36%D32%A32%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H32%D28%A40%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H33%D29%A38%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Manchester United are in open crisis under Carrick — one win in seven league games, no clean sheets, a long injury list and a 4-1 European humiliation at Como — while Bournemouth arrive on three straight wins with clean sheets and are unbeaten in their last six meetings with United, scoring at least three in each of their last three Old Trafford league visits. Home advantage roughly cancels the form gap, and with both sides drawing frequently this season a tight, high-variance 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Bournemouth arrive with momentum and a strong recent H2H record against a low-confidence, injury-hit Manchester United, giving the visitors the edge; however, United's Old Trafford base and both teams' high draw rates make 1-1 the likeliest single scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Manchester United are under severe pressure following a heavy European defeat, but Old Trafford home advantage and superior individual attacking quality give them a slight edge against a Bournemouth side managing fatigue from Thursday's continental action.

Muse Spark 1.2

United are low on confidence after the 4-1 thrashing at Como and three straight home games conceding with pressure mounting on Carrick, while Bournemouth arrive on three consecutive wins including beating Milan in Europe; Bournemouth's two-day shorter rest tempers the edge but still leaves a narrow away win most likely.

MiniMax M3

United have Old Trafford and a must-win response to a 4-1 loss at Como and four straight league draws, but they are hit by injuries (Mainoo, Sesko, Shaw, Ugarte, with Martinez and Rashford doubtful) and have scored only once in four league games. Bournemouth arrive in excellent form (three straight wins, including 3-0 over AC Milan) and are unbeaten in the last five head-to-heads, though only 66 hours' rest and absences for Araujo, Scott and Toth should limit them, making a narrow United home win the best of a low-scoring, closely balanced contest.

Mistral Large 3

Manchester United are struggling with confidence, tactical disorganization, and poor form, while Bournemouth arrive on a three-match winning streak and could exploit United's vulnerabilities. However, home advantage and United's need for a morale-boosting result make a draw the most balanced outcome.

Kimi K3

Manchester United are in crisis after a 4-1 Champions League defeat at Como, with Carrick under severe pressure and no clear tactical identity, while Bournemouth arrive on three straight wins and have been a genuine bogey side at Old Trafford in recent seasons. However, Bournemouth's Thursday Europa League exertions against Milan (with several squad absentees) and United's superior individual quality at home keep the hosts narrow favourites in what shapes as a tight, both-teams-to-score contest.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Bournemouth arrive on a three-match winning streak including a Europa League victory over Milan, while Manchester United have conceded in three straight home games and face mounting pressure on manager Michael Carrick after a 4-1 Champions League defeat to Como.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Manchester United have home advantage and greater individual quality, but their poor confidence, defensive vulnerability and lack of cohesion make them difficult to trust. Bournemouth’s strong recent form gives them a substantial chance, although European fatigue may limit their edge.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Manchester United's confidence is severely dented following their heavy Champions League defeat to Como, while Bournemouth arrive in strong form with three consecutive wins. Despite potential fatigue from Bournemouth's midweek European fixture, the Cherries have recently been a bogey team for the Red Devils and should capitalize on United's defensive frailties and lack of tactical cohesion under Michael Carrick.

Grok 4.5

United's worst start in decades, no clean sheets, midweek thrashing and Carrick pressure leave them fragile at home, while Bournemouth arrive with three straight wins/clean sheets and a six-game unbeaten H2H (last three all draws). High-scoring recent meetings and both sides' leakiness make 1-1 the modal outcome in a tight, low-confidence contest.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Manchester United are in deep crisis under Carrick — humbled 4-1 at Como, no clear tactical pattern, and leaking goals at Old Trafford — while Bournemouth arrive on three straight wins including a statement European victory over Milan, despite some absences and tired legs. The Cherries' recent record as a United bogey team and superior momentum make an away win the most likely single outcome, though a draw stays a realistic fallback given home advantage and United's quality in attack.

GLM-5.2

Manchester United are in crisis under Michael Carrick, coming off a 4-1 Champions League defeat to Como with confidence described as 'on the floor,' while Bournemouth arrive on three consecutive wins and have been a recent bogey team for United. Bournemouth's Thursday Europa League exertions and injury concerns temper their advantage slightly, keeping the draw live.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeManchester United
2.21
DrawLevel at 90′
3.71
AwayBournemouth
3.21