Manchester City
Bournemouth| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–0 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H69%D18%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H62%D23%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 3–1 | H67%D20%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 3–1 | H70%D19%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 3–1 | H69%D19%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 3–1 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H61%D24%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H60%D25%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–1 | H60%D22%A18% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H66%D19%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H55%D23%A22% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H57%D23%A20% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D25%A17% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H58%D22%A20% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H61%D23%A16% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Manchester City hold overwhelming historical dominance and home advantage in this fixture, though Bournemouth's high-pressing style under Rose offers transitional threats. City's superior quality should prevail comfortably at the Etihad.
Manchester City are overwhelmingly dominant in this fixture at the Etihad and have strengthened further (Semenyo joining from Bournemouth), while the Cherries have lost key personnel and their manager, leaving a new-look side to press high and risk being picked off. Bournemouth's transition threat keeps an upset live but a comfortable home win is the clear expectation.
Manchester City's strong opening-day home record and Haaland's clinical edge should overcome a Bournemouth side missing key players, though Bournemouth's aggressive press should keep it competitive and likely produce a goal.
Manchester City have an overwhelming historical dominance in this fixture and boast a formidable lineup including Erling Haaland and former Cherries forward Antoine Semenyo. Although Bournemouth's high-pressing style under new manager Marco Rose could cause problems in transition, City's quality at the Etihad should see them secure an opening-day victory in what promises to be a high-scoring affair.
Manchester City boast an exceptional home record against Bournemouth, having won all prior Premier League encounters between the sides at the Etihad Stadium. Despite both teams entering the season under new managerial leadership, City's superior individual quality and Bournemouth's selection absences favor a comfortable home win.
Manchester City possess overwhelming attacking firepower at the Etihad led by Erling Haaland, and their dominant historical record against Bournemouth should see them control possession and exploit spaces left by the visitors' aggressive high press.
Manchester City maintain overwhelming historical dominance in this fixture and strong home form, though Bournemouth's high-pressing style under Rose suggests they may find the net.
City's historical dominance at the Etihad still makes them favourites, but a transitional squad against Bournemouth's Iraola-style high press and transition threat (Kluivert) suggests a competitive, high-scoring home win rather than a rout.
Manchester City are clear favorites at the Etihad with home advantage and historical dominance over Bournemouth, but research notes suggest their squad isn't as strong as usual and Bournemouth under new manager Rose will press high with dangerous transitions, making a narrow City win the most likely outcome.
Manchester City, despite a slightly weakened squad, maintain a strong historical and home advantage against Bournemouth, who are likely to press high but may struggle to break down City's structure. However, Bournemouth's resilience and potential for counter-attacks keep the draw probability significant.
Manchester City’s historical dominance at the Etihad and superior attacking talent make them clear favorites, but Bournemouth’s aggressive high-press under Rose and threat on the transition mean an open game where the visitors can find the net.
City open the season at the Etihad where they have historically dominated Bournemouth, and previews still rate them roughly two-thirds likely to win despite a slightly weakened-looking squad. Bournemouth's high press and transition threat (Kluivert, Evanilson) plus Semenyo's reunion angle suggest they can score, making a competitive home win with both teams scoring the most likely script.
Manchester City retain significant home advantage and historical dominance over Bournemouth, but a weakened squad and Bournemouth's high-press system under new management increase variance; Haaland's presence tips the balance toward a narrow home win with both teams likely to score.
Manchester City’s home strength and historical dominance of this matchup make them clear favourites. Bournemouth’s aggressive press and transition threat should create chances, but may also leave space for City’s superior attack.
Manchester City remain strong favorites at the Etihad with historical dominance over Bournemouth and superior attacking quality (Haaland, Foden, Doku), but Bournemouth's high-press system under new manager Rose and Justin Kluivert's form in transitions could trouble a City side that appears slightly weakened from previous seasons, making a high-scoring but narrow home win the most likely outcome on opening day.
City retain Haaland and home dominance (9-0 vs Bournemouth historically) under new boss Maresca despite a lighter post-Pep squad and Community Shield loss, while Bournemouth arrive with a new manager, heavy injury list including top scorer Kroupi, and no Etihad wins. A competitive but home win is most likely given the Cherries' counter-threat.
Manchester City's historical dominance in this fixture and home advantage at the Etihad give them the edge, though reports suggest their squad isn't at its usual strength and Bournemouth's high-press under Rose and Kluivert's form in transition pose a genuine threat, making a competitive, high-scoring match likely.
City remain strong favorites at the Etihad where they have won all nine PL home meetings against Bournemouth (avg 3.8 goals scored), and their core of Haaland, Rodri and Foden is still elite despite the post-Guardiola transition and defensive departures. Bournemouth under Rose are a dangerous counter-attacking side fresh off a 6th-place finish, but their dreadful Etihad record and opening-day struggles, plus the absences of Kroupi and Araujo, make an upset unlikely though a goal is plausible given City's weakened back line.
Manchester CityBournemouth