Ipswich
Sunderland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 1–2 | H26%D27%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H34%D32%A34% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H34%D29%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H32%D30%A38% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H32%D29%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H30%D29%A41% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newly-promoted Ipswich have rebuilt heavily with 12 new signings still gelling and a poor recent home record, while Sunderland are an established side coming off a 7th-place finish and European qualification; the match is close, and an opening-day draw or narrow Sunderland edge is most plausible.
Sunderland return as an established Premier League side with a settled, well-recruited squad (Xhaka, Brobbey, Roefs) under Le Bris, while newly-promoted Ipswich are integrating several fresh signings into a new-look front three and may need time to gel. Home advantage and opening-day uncertainty keep this tight, with a low-scoring draw very plausible.
Sunderland's continuity and seventh-place Premier League quality give them a narrow edge, but promoted Ipswich's home opener and new attacking signings make this tight, with a scoring draw the likeliest single scoreline.
Newly-promoted Ipswich will rely on the Portman Road atmosphere and new attacking signings, but Sunderland boast a formidable squad featuring established stars like Granit Xhaka, Lutsharel Geertruida, and Brian Brobbey. The visitors' superior top-flight experience and overall quality should give them the edge in this opening-day fixture.
Portman Road provides an enthusiastic backdrop for Ipswich's opening fixture, but a well-stocked Sunderland side featuring experienced quality like Granit Xhaka and Brian Brobbey presents a tough test. A competitive, closely contested opening match is likely to end in a score draw.
Ipswich will look to harness the energy of their home crowd at Portman Road for their Premier League return, but Sunderland possess the quality and top-flight experience to compete on equal terms. An evenly matched, cagey opening-weekend contest is likely to finish with the points shared.
Opening day fixtures between two newly promoted/returning sides often trend toward caution and draws. Sunderland possesses a high-caliber attacking threat in Brian Brobbey, while Ipswich has invested heavily in their front line, suggesting a competitive, balanced encounter.
Portman Road opening-day factor and Ipswich's £150m+ refreshed attack (Fatawu, Maeda, Emersonn) gives them a narrow edge over a Sunderland side that was 4th-lowest scorers last season and has right-back injuries, but a newly-assembled XI needing to gel keeps it tight and a draw remains highly plausible.
Both sides open their campaigns with point-to-prove after promotion pushes, and neither defense looks particularly settled; Ipswich's home advantage and heavily-revamped attack (Fatawu, Maeda, Emersonn) edge them slightly, but Sunderland's Premier League-ready signings (Xhaka, Brobbey) make a cagey stalemate the most plausible single scoreline.
Ipswich are newly promoted and strengthened with summer signings, playing at home, which gives them a slight edge. However, Sunderland are an experienced Championship side with recent top-flight exposure, making them a tough opponent. The draw is a realistic outcome given the uncertainty of a new season and both teams' defensive questions.
Sunderland’s squad looks significantly stronger on paper after recruiting elite talents such as Granit Xhaka, Lutsharel Geertruida and Brian Brobbey, while newly-promoted Ipswich face doubts over midfield duo Jack Taylor and Azor Matusiwa and the uncertainty of an opening-day home return.
A near coin-flip between two of the league's likely lower-half sides: newly-promoted Ipswich have home advantage and big-money attacking signings (Fatawu, Maeda, Emersonn) but face opening-day cohesion questions and doubts over Taylor and Matusiwa, while Sunderland return for a second straight PL season with a settled core under Le Bris (Xhaka, Brobbey, Le Fée). Ipswich's Portman Road edge makes them narrow favourites, but the draw — and 1-1 in particular — is very live between two well-matched, goal-shy squads.
Both newly promoted sides have recruited heavily with proven internationals; Sunderland's midfield axis of Xhaka and Le Fée gives them slight structural edge, but Ipswich's home advantage and cohesive defensive unit (Greaves, O'Shea, Davis) should neutralise much of that threat, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.
Ipswich’s home advantage and upgraded attack should make this competitive, but Sunderland appear to have the stronger, more settled Premier League-calibre squad. An opening-day draw is the likeliest scoreline, with Sunderland holding a narrow overall win edge.
Sunderland boast a notably stronger squad on paper with World Cup-form striker Brian Brobbey, Granit Xhaka, and high-caliber additions like Geertruida and Mukiele, giving them a slight edge. However, Ipswich's home advantage at Portman Road on opening day, combined with their own summer reinforcements (Fatawu, Maeda), keeps this tightly contested, making a low-scoring draw a highly plausible outcome.
Sunderland return as an established top-half side with retained stars like Xhaka and in-form Brobbey after a 7th-place finish, giving them a quality edge over heavily rebuilt but unproven Ipswich under new boss O'Neil. Home atmosphere and new signings make a low-scoring draw the likeliest outcome on opening day.
Sunderland's proven PL pedigree (7th last season, Europa League qualifiers), settled squad under Le Bris, and Ipswich's historically dire opening-day record (lost last 4) and wholesale squad rebuild under new manager Gary O'Neil tilt this in the visitors' favour, though Portman Road's atmosphere should keep it competitive.
Sunderland finished 7th last season with a settled, proven PL squad featuring Xhaka, Brobbey and Le Fée, while Ipswich must integrate 12 new signings under a new manager on opening day — a significant cohesion disadvantage despite home advantage at Portman Road.
IpswichSunderland