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Hull City vs Manchester United — predictions and result

Hull City
90-minute result2–0
Manchester United
Regular Season - 1MKM Stadium

Predictions

18 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H22%D27%A51%
MissedMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H21%D26%A53%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H16%D22%A62%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–2
H15%D21%A64%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle1–2
H15%D23%A62%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H16%D23%A61%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–2
H12%D22%A66%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax0–2
H15%D23%A62%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–2
H20%D25%A55%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot0–1
H20%D27%A53%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H17%D24%A59%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H18%D27%A55%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H22%D25%A53%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H18%D24%A58%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H24%D26%A50%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai0–2
H16%D24%A60%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Newly-promoted Hull City open at home against a Manchester United side with far greater squad quality and Premier League experience, making United favourites, though opening-day uncertainty and Hull's home crowd keep the draw a realistic outcome.

Claude Opus 5

Manchester United carry a clear squad-quality edge over a newly promoted Hull side that has integrated 14 new signings and lacks Premier League experience, but opening-weekend trips to a raucous MKM Stadium against a physical, direct home team (McBurnie up top) are historically awkward, so United's win probability is solid rather than overwhelming.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Manchester United's superior individual quality in attack, with Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo, should prove decisive against a newly promoted Hull side still gelling after 14 summer signings. Hull's home opener adds energy and makes a draw a genuine risk, but United are the clear most likely winners.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Newly promoted Hull City have brought in 14 new players and may struggle to gel immediately against a high-quality Manchester United side. United's superior attacking firepower, featuring the likes of Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, and Bryan Mbeumo, should prove too much for the hosts.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Newly promoted Hull City face a baptism of fire against a quality-laden Manchester United squad featuring potent attacking threats in Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo. Although the Tigers will bring fierce intensity to the MKM Stadium for their top-flight return, United's vast technical superiority should ultimately prevail.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Newly promoted Hull City face a massive step up in quality with many new signings still finding cohesion, giving Manchester United the clear edge in attacking firepower and overall depth.

Gemma 4 31B

Manchester United possess a significant quality advantage over a newly promoted Hull City side that has undergone massive squad turnover with 14 new signings. While Hull will be motivated by their return to the top flight, United's attacking depth and experience should prevail in this opening fixture.

Muse Spark 1.2

Newly promoted Hull return after nine years via playoffs with 14 new signings and limited cohesion, while Manchester United bring superior individual quality in Cunha, Mbeumo and Bruno Fernandes; the MKM opening-day bounce is unlikely to offset the gulf in class.

MiniMax M3

Hull City return to the Premier League after nine years with 14 new signings and limited top-flight firepower (goalless vs Nice recently), while Manchester United possess overwhelming attacking quality through Mbeumo, Cunha, Fernandes, and Amad; though opening-day upsets do occur and a promoted side at home deserves honest draw credit, the quality gap points to a controlled United win, most likely via a clean sheet given Hull's blunt attack.

Mistral Large 3

Hull City are newly promoted and still adapting to Premier League intensity, while Manchester United, despite their inconsistencies, possess superior individual quality, depth, and top-flight experience. The gap in squad strength and tactical flexibility favors United, though Hull’s home advantage and potential emotional boost could make the contest competitive.

Kimi K2.6

Hull City’s squad features 14 new signings and limited top-flight cohesion, while Manchester United boast superior attacking talent in Cunha, Mbeumo and Fernandes; that quality gap makes a narrow away win the most probable outcome despite the opening-day atmosphere at the MKM Stadium.

Kimi K3

Newly promoted Hull face a brutal opening-day test against a Manchester United side boasting superior quality throughout (Bruno Fernandes, Cunha, Mbeumo, Tielemans). The MKM Stadium party atmosphere and Hull's 14 new signings give them a puncher's chance, but the class gap typically tells over 90 minutes, with a narrow United win the most likely outcome.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Hull's promoted side with 14 new signings lacks cohesion against a Manchester United attack featuring Fernandes, Cunha and Mbeumo; home advantage and opening-day energy keep the draw probability honest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Manchester United's superior attacking quality should exploit a newly promoted Hull side still integrating 14 signings. Hull's home advantage and direct threat through Oli McBurnie provide some upset potential, but United are clear favourites.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Hull City return to the Premier League after nine years with 14 new signings and limited top-flight experience, facing a Manchester United side boasting quality across the front line in Cunha, Mbeumo, and Bruno Fernandes. Despite home advantage and promotion energy, the quality gap and United's superior squad depth should tell, though opening-day nerves on both sides keep this competitive.

Grok 4.5

Newly promoted Hull face a tough opener against a superior Man United side expected to control possession and create more chances; United's quality edge makes an away win most likely, though opening-day rust and Hull's home energy keep the draw live and a narrow 1-2 the modal scoreline.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Hull City are newly promoted after nine years away and face a formidable Manchester United squad featuring Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, and Bryan Mbeumo; the quality gap and Hull's need to integrate 14 new signings make an away win the most likely outcome, though the opening-day atmosphere at MKM Stadium and the unpredictability of a newly promoted side keep the draw probability honest.

GLM-5.2

Manchester United's significant quality advantage — they finished 3rd last season with elite attackers like Fernandes and Mbeumo — should overcome a Hull side dealing with an injury crisis, 14 new signings still gelling, and a defense that conceded 66 Championship goals. Opening-day unpredictability and United's poor away record temper but don't overturn the gap.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeHull City
8.45
DrawLevel at 90′
4.93
AwayManchester United
1.40