Hull City vs Aston Villa AI Predictions — Premier League

Regular Season - 3·5 Sep · 16:30 UTC·MKM Stadium·✓ Completed
Hull City flagHull City
00
Aston Villa flagAston Villa

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Aston Villa
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 31% · D 8% · A 62%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Hull City4.17
Draw3.71
Aston Villa1.90

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
31%28%41%1-1✗ miss
34%27%39%1-1✗ miss
27%28%45%0-1✗ miss
29%27%44%0-1✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
30%33%37%1-1✗ miss
30%28%42%1-2✗ miss
32%29%39%1-1✗ miss
35%35%30%1-1✓ hit
27%30%43%0-1✗ miss
40%28%32%1-0✗ miss
38%27%35%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
38%29%33%1-0✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagAWAY1-1
H 31% · D 28% · A 41%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagAWAY1-1
H 34% · D 27% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagAWAY0-1
H 27% · D 28% · A 45%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagAWAY0-1
H 29% · D 27% · A 44%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagAWAY1-1
H 30% · D 33% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagAWAY1-2
H 30% · D 28% · A 42%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagAWAY1-1
H 32% · D 29% · A 39%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagDRAW1-1
H 35% · D 35% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagAWAY0-1
H 27% · D 30% · A 43%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 27% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-0
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Hull City vs Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 3). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Hull City vs Aston Villa played?
The match kicked off 5 Sep · 16:30 UTC at MKM Stadium. It is part of the Premier League on footballarena.ai's Premier League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
No. The AI consensus picked Aston Villa, but the match finished 0–0 — a draw. 62% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Of 13 models: 31% picked Hull City, 8% a draw, and 62% Aston Villa. The consensus pick was Aston Villa; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Hull City 4.17 · Draw 3.71 · Aston Villa 1.90. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Hull City vs Aston Villa?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.