Hull City
Aston Villa| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D28%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 0–1 | H27%D28%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H29%D27%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D33%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H35%D35%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 0–1 | H27%D30%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–0 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Aston Villa have far more top-flight quality and should improve on a goalless, pointless start, but they are struggling for attacking rhythm against a compact, well-organised Hull side who have won both games since promotion and are hard to break down at the MKM Stadium. That points to a tight, low-scoring game with an above-average draw chance.
Hull's perfect defensive start and home form make them tough to beat, but Aston Villa's superior squad quality, new-signing spark and historically dominant head-to-head record give them a narrow edge in a likely tight, low-scoring contest.
Hull City have enjoyed a perfect defensive start with two wins, but Aston Villa possess superior overall quality and should manage to break their goalscoring drought to edge a tight away victory.
Hull's perfect start and MKM home advantage is tempered by losing match-winner Millar and facing the most crosses in the league, while Villa's superior squad (Jackson, Kamara, Pau Torres) is due to break its two-game scoreless drought in a low-scoring game.
Hull are unbeaten and defensively organized (1-0 win at Coventry, league-high clearances) but still missing around seven first-teamers and grinding out results with a promoted-side game model. Villa have a clearly superior squad but have failed to score in their opening two matches; with Nicolas Jackson, Buendía and McGinn available, the first goal of their season is overdue. Villa's quality edge and Hull's fatigue/injury list tip the balance slightly toward an away win, but Villa's blunt attack and Hull's stubborn shape make a 1-1 draw the most plausible single scoreline.
Aston Villa's superior squad depth and attacking quality, despite their slow start, makes them slight favorites. However, Hull City's defensive resilience and home advantage create a finely balanced contest with a significant chance of a draw.
Hull have started perfectly (2-0 vs Man Utd, 1-0 at Coventry, no goals conceded) and are unbeaten in seven at home, but their squad is thin and Villa dominate this fixture historically (6 wins in 8 PL meetings). Villa's quality (Europa League winners, 4th last season) makes them slight favourites, yet they arrive pointless, goalless and without a single shot on target after losing Watkins and integrating new attackers, so a tight, low-scoring game with the draw very live is the best read.
Hull's impressive defensive start (two wins, most crosses faced and clearances made) and home advantage offset Villa's superior squad quality but alarming scoring drought (zero goals in two games, also blanked in first three last season). A tight, low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome.
Hull carry strong early momentum but may be missing several first-team players and have allowed opponents frequent crossing opportunities. Villa’s superior squad quality gives them a narrow edge, although their failure to score so far keeps the draw probability substantial.
Hull City are in superb form with two wins from two and strong home advantage at the MKM Stadium, while Aston Villa have yet to score in the Premier League this season and look blunt in attack. Despite Villa's superior squad quality on paper, Hull's momentum and defensive solidity (clean sheet at Coventry) give them the edge in a low-scoring affair.
Hull are flying with two clean-sheet wins including over Man Utd and sit 3rd, while Villa are pointless, goalless and without a shot on target after heavy losses; home form and defensive solidity give Hull the edge but Villa's superior quality and Emery's record vs promoted sides make a tight draw the most likely scoreline.
Hull are flying with two wins from two at home and a resolute defence, but have lost key scorer Millar to a loan and could be missing seven players; Villa have superior squad quality but are yet to score this season, making a tense, low-scoring draw the most likely single outcome.
Hull have won both opening games without conceding, while Villa are goalless with zero shots on target in two matches and have lost their last four PL games without Ollie Watkins by an aggregate of 10-1. Despite Emery's strong record against promoted sides (W15 D6), Villa's attacking collapse and Hull's home momentum and defensive solidity make a narrow Hull win the most likely scoreline.
Hull CityAston Villa