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Fulham vs Manchester United — predictions and result

Fulham
90-minute result1–1
Manchester United
Regular Season - 5Craven Cottage

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H28%D27%A45%
MissedExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H25%D27%A48%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H27%D27%A46%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H33%D27%A40%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H28%D34%A38%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H30%D27%A43%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H28%D32%A40%
MissedExact
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H31%D29%A40%
MissedExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H35%D32%A33%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H29%D27%A44%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H31%D27%A42%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H32%D30%A38%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Both sides have stuttered (Fulham winless with one point, United beaten in the derby and from 2-0 up by Brighton), but United's attacking quality in Sesko, Mbeumo, Cunha and Fernandes plus an outstanding long-term record at Craven Cottage (no defeat there since 2009) makes them modest favourites. Fulham's improved defensive shape in the 0-0 at Anfield and United's away fragility point to a tight, low-scoring game where a draw is a very live outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Manchester United's stronger attacking options and long unbeaten run at Craven Cottage make them the most likely winners despite their poor recent form. Fulham's improved defensive showing at Anfield and United's instability keep a draw and a home upset live, so the away edge is only moderate.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Fulham have struggled for form in the league despite showing recent defensive resilience, while Manchester United possess the individual quality in attack to edge a tight contest at Craven Cottage.

Muse Spark 1.2

Both sides have one point/win from four league games and are under pressure, but United's superior individual attackers (Fernandes, Mbeumo) can exploit a porous Fulham defence despite Fulham's home advantage and improved 0-0 at Liverpool, making a narrow away win slightly more likely than a draw.

MiniMax M3

Both clubs arrive in poor form — Fulham have taken just one Premier League point from four and Man United have won only once in the league, with Carrick already under pressure — so a low-scoring, cautious game is the most plausible outcome. Fulham's clean sheet at Liverpool last weekend shows they can tighten up, but United still possess the superior individual quality (Fernandes, Mbeumo) to eke out at least a goal, making a 1-1 stalemate the most likely scoreline.

Kimi K3

Both sides are struggling early in the season — Fulham winless with one point despite a defensive improvement (0-0 at Liverpool), and United with just one league win under pressure. However, United's superior attacking quality (Fernandes, Mbeumo) and their historically dominant record at Craven Cottage give them the edge in what should be a tight, low-scoring contest, with a draw a genuine live possibility.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Fulham are winless in the league but showed defensive resilience in a 0-0 draw at Liverpool and beat West Ham in the cup; United have only one league win and are under pressure, but possess greater individual quality and have Luke Shaw returning. A tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Both sides have started poorly, while Fulham’s improved defensive showing at Liverpool suggests a tight contest. United possess the stronger attacking options and a slight overall edge, but their inconsistency makes a draw a substantial possibility.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Both sides are in poor early-season form (Fulham winless with 1 point from 4, United with only 1 league win), making this a tight, cagey affair. Fulham's home advantage and recent defensive solidity (0-0 at Liverpool) give them a marginal edge, but United's attacking quality through Fernandes and Mbeumo should prevent a clear home victory, pointing toward a low-scoring draw.

Grok 4.5

Manchester United's greater individual quality and historical dominance at Craven Cottage should secure a narrow away win, even as both sides show early inconsistency; Fulham's recent clean sheet at Liverpool keeps the draw live but their winless league start limits home upset potential.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Fulham have shown defensive resilience with a clean sheet at Liverpool and will press high at home, but United's superior attacking quality and desperate need for points before the break should see them edge it despite their woeful recent form; the historically lopsided H2H (United unbeaten in 10 visits to Craven Cottage) and Bruno Fernandes' goalscoring form are the decisive differentiators.

GLM-5.2

Both sides are struggling — Fulham are winless in four but showed defensive improvement with a 0-0 draw at Liverpool, while United have just one league win and lost to Brighton and City. United's superior individual attacking quality should edge a tight contest against a still-porous Fulham defence, though the closeness of two out-of-form teams keeps the draw probability high.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFulham
3.63
DrawLevel at 90′
3.90
AwayManchester United
2.01