Fulham
Crystal Palace| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D28%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H39%D29%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H41%D29%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H41%D27%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H37%D30%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H39%D30%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two winless sides in transition — Fulham under new boss Arbeloa have lost to Chelsea and Sunderland, while Sage's Palace have been beaten by Everton and Manchester City with little attacking output — so this looks like a coin-flip between similar mid-table squads, with Craven Cottage giving Fulham a marginal edge. Palace's stronger recent baseline and Fulham's shaky start keep the away side close, and a low-scoring draw is a very live outcome.
Fulham's home edge and Gonzalo Garcia's early form are balanced by Crystal Palace's strong recent record at Craven Cottage and both sides' urgent need for points, making a tight contest likely.
Both sides possess well-matched squads and balanced quality across all departments, making this London derby a closely fought encounter that is likely to end level.
Fulham have home advantage at Craven Cottage but Palace arrive with back-to-back wins under Pierre Sage and a settled XI (Pino, Strand Larsen, Nketiah, Wharton). Palace are without three first-team players which tilts chances slightly to Fulham, but the matchup projects as tight and low-scoring, making a 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Both sides are winless and desperate for their first points, with Fulham edged slightly by home advantage and Gonzalo García's attacking threat (2 goals in opening games), but Crystal Palace have dominated recent head-to-heads (unbeaten in 7 of the last 9 meetings) and historically tight, low-scoring encounters at Craven Cottage. A 1-1 stalemate captures the balance of Fulham's marginal home edge, Palace's H2H resilience, and the conservative, low-block tendencies both managers may adopt given their early-season fragility.
Both teams are evenly matched, with Fulham showing slight home advantage but Crystal Palace missing key players and struggling for consistency. A draw is a highly plausible outcome given their recent forms and squad availability.
Two winless sides under new managers meet, but Fulham look slightly better placed: they have home advantage, a near-full squad (only Cairney and De Fougerolles out), and an in-form Gonzalo García leading the line, while Palace arrive missing Mateta, Sarr and Riad, have scored once in two games, and have conceded 2+ goals in eight straight league matches. Palace's remarkable record at Craven Cottage (unbeaten since 2005, three straight wins there) keeps the away win and draw firmly live, so I lean only modestly toward a narrow Fulham victory.
Fulham enjoy home advantage at Craven Cottage with a near-full squad, but Crystal Palace arrive on the back of back-to-back pre-season wins despite missing three first-team players; the sides are closely matched and a low-scoring draw is the most likely single outcome.
Fulham’s home advantage gives them a narrow edge in an otherwise evenly matched contest. Palace’s reported first-team absences strengthen the hosts’ prospects, but the visitors retain enough attacking quality to earn a draw.
Both teams are in significant transition with new managers (Arbeloa at Fulham, Sage at Palace) and Palace have had a chaotic summer with 11 new signings including 4 on deadline day just 4 days before this match, creating integration challenges. However, Palace won the pre-season fixture 2-1 and have won 6 of their last 10 away London derbies, while Fulham's younger squad lacks extensive Premier League experience, making this an extremely even encounter at Craven Cottage.
Both sides are winless after two games under new managers, but Fulham hold home advantage at Craven Cottage with better squad availability and in-form striker Garcia, while Palace miss key attackers Mateta and Sarr after heavy defeats. Historical Palace edge at this venue keeps the away win live, yet a tight home victory is the single most likely outcome.
Fulham's home advantage and more encouraging attacking displays (Garcia's off-ball movement, Bobb, Iwobi) give them the edge against a Palace side that has been woeful defensively, conceding six goals in two matches with three first-team players sidelined. Both teams are desperate for their first points, which should produce an open, competitive contest where Fulham's Craven Cottage support proves the difference.
Both sides are winless under new managers with defensive vulnerabilities, but Palace's remarkable unbeaten run at Craven Cottage (7 games since 2005) and 6 draws in the last 13 H2H meetings suggest a tight contest; Fulham's home advantage and Garcia's early form are offset by Palace missing key attackers (Mateta, Sarr) yet maintaining their strong historical record at this ground.
FulhamCrystal Palace