Everton
Manchester United| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H27%D29%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H29%D27%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H35%D28%A37% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H26%D26%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D25%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D27%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D27%A41% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Manchester United look the stronger squad with Fernandes, Mbeumo and Cunha carrying the attack, but Everton at the Hill Dickinson under Moyes are well organised and this fixture is historically tight and low-scoring, so a slim away edge with a high draw chance is fair.
Everton are unbeaten and defensively solid (1 conceded in 2), but Man United's attacking quality — Fernandes (11 G+A in 13 vs Everton), Mbeumo (39 runs in behind, most in PL), and a Carrick side averaging 2.1 PPG — gives the visitors an edge, especially given United have won 6 of the last 8 PL meetings between these sides.
Manchester United carry superior attacking quality through Bruno Fernandes and their revamped front line, giving them a slight edge in an open, competitive encounter away at Everton.
Hill Dickinson gives Everton a real lift and both sides lead the league in direct attacks (6 each) after GW2, promising an open game, but United's superior chance creation through Fernandes/Mainoo and depth in attack (Mbeumo, Cunha, Rashford/Sesko) gives them a slight edge despite slow starts.
Manchester United possess the superior attacking talent (Fernandes, Mbeumo, Cunha, Rashford) and have shown enough threat to be marginal favourites, but United's slow starts in their opening two games, Everton's home advantage at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, and Moyes' motivational return combine to make this a tight, end-to-end contest where Everton are very capable of getting on the scoresheet.
Both teams have shown attacking intent in the early season, but Manchester United's slightly stronger midfield creativity and forward line, combined with Everton's vulnerability to early pressure, tilts the balance marginally toward United. However, Everton's home advantage and resilience make a draw highly probable.
Manchester United's revamped attack (Cunha, Mbeumo, Sesko, Fernandes, Rashford) and an in-form Bruno Fernandes give them the edge, though their slow starts and Everton's home advantage at Hill Dickinson plus a rebuilt front line (Barry, Johnson, Grealish, Dewsbury-Hall) keep this competitive. With both teams topping the league for direct attacks so far, goals are expected on both sides, but United's superior quality should edge it.
Manchester United's attacking depth (Fernandes, Rashford, Cunha) and midfield control (Mainoo, Tielemans) give them the edge, but Everton's home defensive solidity (Tarkowski, Branthwaite) and direct attacking threat (Barry, Dewsbury-Hall) keep the draw probability honest at ~25%.
Manchester United have the greater attacking quality through Fernandes, Mbeumo and Cunha, giving them a narrow edge. Everton’s home advantage and strong defensive core should keep the contest competitive.
Manchester United's significant summer reinforcements (Sesko, Mbeumo, Cunha, Tielemans) and Fernandes' early-season form give them a clear quality edge, while Everton have lost Ndiaye and key attackers. However, Moyes' side at the Hill Dickinson Stadium with a solid defensive core of Branthwaite and Pickford keeps this competitive, making a narrow United away win the most likely outcome.
Early-season form is limited but United's attacking quality (Fernandes, Cunha, Mbeumo) edges a competitive fixture; Everton under Moyes remain solid at home and both sides create chances, making a narrow away win the modal outcome while draws stay honestly likely.
Everton are unbeaten through two gameweeks but have lost talisman Ndiaye to Man City on deadline day, leaving Thierno Barry as their only striker option, while United bounced back emphatically from an opening-day Hull defeat to thrash Ipswich 5-2 and boast Fernandes—who has 11 career PL goal involvements against Everton. Historical head-to-head heavily favours United (Everton won just 3 of the last 22 league meetings), but United's tendency to start slowly and home advantage should keep this competitive with both teams scoring.
Manchester United's superior attacking quality (Sesko, Cunha, Mbeumo, Fernandes) and deeper squad should edge a competitive match against an Everton side weakened by transfer window departures and fielding only 19 registered players. However, Everton's unbeaten home start under Moyes and organized setup keep this closer than United's 5-2 GW2 rout might suggest.
EvertonManchester United