Everton
Chelsea| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H41%D30%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–1 | H38%D27%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H32%D27%A41% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H34%D32%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H27%D29%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H36%D29%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–1 | H31%D32%A37% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Both sides are level on 10 points: Everton are unbeaten but draw-heavy (2W 4D) with a compact 4-2-3-1 and strong home record under Moyes against Chelsea, while Chelsea carry more attacking quality (Joao Pedro, Palmer, Rogers) but have conceded in 22 straight league games and won just one of their last nine visits to Everton. That mix of Chelsea's edge in talent and Everton's defensive solidity at home points to a tight, goal-shared contest.
Everton are unbeaten and have dominated recent home meetings with Chelsea, who have failed to score in seven of their last eight visits to Merseyside. Everton's strong home defensive record makes a narrow low-scoring home win the most likely outcome.
Both sides enter level on 10 points, but Chelsea's attacking firepower led by Cole Palmer gives them a narrow edge against Everton's disciplined defensive setup at home.
Both sides sit on 10 points after six games and are evenly matched, but Everton's home intensity and low block with Tarkowski/Branthwaite has historically troubled Chelsea. Chelsea will dominate possession through Caicedo/Henderson and Palmer/Neto but showed vulnerability in the 3-0 collapse at Brentford, pointing to a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
Both sides sit level on 10 points after 6 games, with Chelsea's free-scoring attack offset by recent defensive fragility (3-0 collapse at Brentford) and Everton's compact 4-2-3-1 under David Moyes making them tough to break down at home, where they also showed vulnerability in a 2-2 draw with Hull. The balance of strengths points to a tight, low-margin contest most likely settled at 1-1.
Both teams are evenly matched in form and league position, with Chelsea's attacking talent balanced by Everton's defensive organization and home intensity. A draw is a highly plausible outcome given their identical points and recent tactical trends.
Chelsea carry the greater attacking threat through Palmer, Neto and Caicedo, making them slight favourites, but their defensive vulnerability (the 3-0 collapse at Brentford) and Everton's strong home record in this fixture under Moyes — with a physical 4-2-3-1 block featuring Tarkowski, Branthwaite and Grealish — keep the Toffees very competitive. With both sides level on points and evenly matched, a tight, low-margin game with a high draw probability looks most likely.
Both sides sit on 10 points after six games with near-identical underlying numbers; Everton's organised Moyes block at home neutralises Chelsea's possession-heavy approach, while the Blues' recent 3-0 loss at Brentford hints at defensive frailty that keeps the draw probability high.
Chelsea’s greater attacking quality and midfield control give them the edge, but Everton’s compact defensive setup, home advantage and intensity make this a difficult matchup. A low-scoring draw is the most likely individual scoreline.
Both teams sit level on 10 points after six games, making this an evenly matched contest. Everton under Moyes are organized and intense at home, but Chelsea's superior attacking quality through Palmer and Neto gives them a slight edge in a tight, low-scoring affair.
Everton remain unbeaten with a sturdy home defence (only 2 conceded in 3 home games) under Moyes and excel at frustrating possession sides, while Chelsea's free-scoring attack is offset by poor recent away form (losses at Arsenal and Brentford) and defensive lapses.
Both sides are level on 10 points and in strong early-season form, with Everton's compact 4-2-3-1 and defensive solidity at Goodison historically frustrating Chelsea, while Chelsea's free-scoring attack underpinned by Palmer and Caicedo should still find a way through against a side that tends to shut games down. A tightly contested draw looks the most honest single outcome.
Both sides sit level on 10 points after six matches, with Everton's defensive solidity under Moyes at home historically troubling Chelsea, who despite their attacking firepower showed vulnerability in a recent 3-0 loss at Brentford. The fixture's decade-long trend favouring Everton at home, combined with Chelsea's inconsistency, points toward a tight, low-scoring affair most likely ending level.
EvertonChelsea