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Crystal Palace vs Manchester City — predictions and result

Crystal Palace
90-minute result1–4
Manchester City
Regular Season - 2Selhurst Park

Predictions

17 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 4.8Anthropic1–2
H27%D27%A46%
CorrectMissed
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H23%D26%A51%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H19%D23%A58%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.1 ProGoogle0–2
H11%D21%A68%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.6 FlashGoogle0–2
H18%D24%A58%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle0–2
H17%D24%A59%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle0–2
H12%D20%A68%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta0–2
H17%D22%A61%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H20%D22%A58%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K2.6Moonshot1–2
H10%D22%A68%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H21%D24%A55%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H15%D25%A60%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI0–2
H14%D21%A65%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba0–2
H18%D22%A60%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H20%D24%A56%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi0–2
H15%D20%A65%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H19%D21%A60%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 4.8

Manchester City's superior squad depth and attacking talent (Haaland, Foden, Cherki) make them favorites, but Crystal Palace's home organization at Selhurst Park and defensive resilience keep this competitive, so a narrow City win is most likely with a real chance of a draw.

Claude Opus 5

City are clearly the stronger side and won their opener, but Maresca's rebuilt, midfield-thin team looked unconvincing against Bournemouth and City have conceded in seven of their last nine away league games, while Palace remain awkward opponents at Selhurst Park (FA Cup final winners over City in May). Palace's own struggles — winless in eight, beaten at Everton, with Nketiah and Doucoure out and Mateta/Sarr unsettled — tilt it City's way, but a tight, low-scoring game with real draw equity is likely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Palace created chances but were wasteful in their 2-0 loss at Everton and remain short of Sarr and Riad, while City have superior firepower and won their opener 2-1. City's transitional defence has conceded regularly on the road, so a narrow away win is the most likely outcome.

Gemini 3.1 Pro

Manchester City boast a formidable lineup featuring Erling Haaland and Phil Foden, while Crystal Palace struggled in their opening 2-0 defeat to Everton. With Palace's attacking options unsettled amid transfer rumors, City's superior quality should comfortably secure an away victory.

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Manchester City possess superior quality across all departments and should control tempo against a Crystal Palace side coming off an uninspiring 2-0 opening-day defeat to Everton. City's depth and attacking firepower should comfortably prove decisive at Selhurst Park.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Manchester City boast superior individual quality across every department and should dominate possession at Selhurst Park. Crystal Palace struggled to create high-quality chances during their opening defeat to Everton and will find City's structured defense tough to break down.

Gemma 4 31B

Manchester City enter as heavy favorites against a Crystal Palace side that lost their opening match 2-0 and is facing instability with key attacking players linked to transfers. City's squad depth and superior quality, led by Erling Haaland, should comfortably overcome Palace's defensive setup.

Muse Spark 1.2

Palace lost 2-0 at Everton and are integrating a new-look XI with Sarr and Mateta linked away, while City arrive with Haaland-led attack and a 3-0 win in the last meeting; even at Selhurst Park City's quality and depth should control transitions and chances.

MiniMax M3

Manchester City are heavily favored with a far superior squad (Haaland, Foden, Cherki, Semenyo) and a recent 3-0 head-to-head win, while Crystal Palace are in early-season turmoil — they lost 0-2 at Everton in Matchweek 1, key attackers Sarr and Mateta are linked with moves away, and Sage's 3-4-2-1 lacks cutting edge; Selhurst Park and a likely low-block from a desperate Palace side keep the draw probability honest at ~22%, with a narrow City away win (1-2) the most plausible scoreline.

Kimi K2.6

Crystal Palace are struggling after a 2-0 opening defeat to Everton and face uncertainty over key attackers, while Manchester City’s deep, high-quality squad featuring Erling Haaland gives them a clear edge at Selhurst Park.

Kimi K3

City won the last meeting 3-0 and have far superior firepower (Haaland, Foden, Cherki, Semenyo), while Palace are in transition under Pierre Sage — beaten 2-0 at Everton, Chadi Riad suffering a serious knee injury, and Sarr/Mateta unsettled by transfer links. However, Maresca's City looked vulnerable in a thin post-Rodri midfield (needing a late comeback vs Bournemouth and losing the Community Shield 3-0), and Selhurst Park on a Friday night plus Palace's demonstrated chance creation keep a home upset or draw very live.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Manchester City's vastly superior squad depth and attacking firepower (Haaland, Foden, Cherki, Semenyo) overwhelm a Crystal Palace side that lost 2-0 at Everton on opening weekend and faces uncertainty over key attackers Mateta and Sarr.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Manchester City’s projected attack, led by Haaland, Foden and Cherki, gives them a substantial quality advantage. Palace’s compact 3-4-2-1 and home edge offer some resistance, but City should control possession and create the clearer chances.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Manchester City field a formidable attack with Haaland, Foden, Cherki, and Semenyo against a Palace side that lost 2-0 in their opener and face uncertainty over key attackers Sarr and Mateta. City's defensive trio of Dias, Guehi, and Gvardiol should stifle Palace's transitions, though Selhurst Park and Palace's new signings keep a narrow defeat or draw in play.

Grok 4.5

Man City hold clear quality and squad edge with Haaland and recent late-game resilience under Maresca, outweighing Palace's Selhurst physicality after their opening loss and defensive absences; a narrow away win is most probable amid early-season transitions.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Crystal Palace lost their opener 2-0 to Everton and look in disarray with key attackers potentially departing, while Manchester City boast a strengthened squad featuring Haaland, Foden, Donnarumma, Guehi, and Cherki. City's quality advantage is substantial and they won the last meeting 3-0.

GLM-5.2

Manchester City boast a significantly stronger squad with Haaland, Foden, and Cherki, and won the last meeting 3-0, while Crystal Palace lost their opener 2-0 at Everton and face uncertainty with key attackers Sarr and Mateta potentially leaving. City's quality should prevail despite Palace's home advantage at Selhurst Park.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeCrystal Palace
4.77
DrawLevel at 90′
4.21
AwayManchester City
1.69