Coventry
Newcastle| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H22%D27%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H24%D30%A46% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H23%D26%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H23%D25%A52% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D27%A51% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newcastle carry clear squad-quality advantage and have started steadily (eight points from five), while promoted Coventry have struggled defensively at home against upper-half sides despite their transition threat and recent first win. A tight Monday-night game is plausible, but the Magpies' extra edge in attack makes a narrow away win the most likely single result.
Newcastle's stronger attacking output and seven-game winning run in this fixture point to an away win, while Coventry's direct play and Newcastle's recent defensive leaks should let the hosts get on the scoresheet.
Newcastle possess superior individual quality and attacking firepower across the pitch compared to newly-promoted Coventry. Although the hosts will be buoyed by their recent victory, Newcastle's structured defense and transition speed should see them claim all three points.
Newcastle's superior Premier League quality and depth (Botman/Thiaw, Barnes/Willock) makes them favourites despite inconsistency (8pts/5), while Coventry's first win vs Forest shows transition threat at home but defensive issues under Lampard keep them as underdogs in a likely open game.
Newcastle's historical dominance (7-game winning streak vs Coventry, including a 4-1 win in their last meeting) and stronger early-season form (8 pts from 5) make them favorites, but promoted Coventry's home crowd and momentum from their first PL win make a draw the most plausible single scoreline, with Newcastle's attacking quality (Barnes, Willock) likely to be answered by a Coventry transition goal.
Newcastle arrive ninth with eight points from five and a seven-match winning streak in this head-to-head, giving them a clear quality edge over newly promoted Coventry, whose defence remains a concern under Lampard despite a morale-boosting first win. Coventry's home advantage and transition threat keep the draw live, but Newcastle's attacking options should edge it.
Newcastle's superior squad depth, 7-game historical dominance over Coventry, and 8 points from 5 matches outweigh Coventry's home advantage and recent first PL win; the Magpies' solid centre-back pairing (Thiaw/Botman) should contain Coventry's transition threat led by Thomas-Asante.
Newcastle's stronger squad and favorable head-to-head record give them the edge, though their inconsistency and Coventry's home transition threat make a draw a substantial possibility.
Newcastle enter with solid form (8 points from 5) and a seven-game winning streak against Coventry, whose home record against mid-upper table sides is poor. However, Coventry's recent 1-0 win over Forest and transition threat keep a draw plausible, making a narrow away victory the most likely single outcome.
Newly promoted Coventry remain toothless (1 goal in 5 games) and winless at home despite a shock away win at Forest, while Newcastle's superior quality, recent scoring form and historical dominance make them clear favorites to grind out a narrow victory.
Newcastle's superior squad quality, strong historical record (7 straight wins vs Coventry), and solid early-season form (8 pts from 5) give them the edge, though Coventry's transition threat under Lampard and home support make this competitive. Coventry's defensive fragility against upper-mid-table opposition and Newcastle's Thiaw-Botman centre-back pairing are the decisive factors.
Newcastle, with 8 points from 5 matches and a seven-game winning streak against Coventry, are the stronger and more established Premier League side. Coventry's home form against upper-mid-table opposition has been weak, and their defense under Lampard remains a concern, making a Newcastle away win the most likely outcome.
CoventryNewcastle