Coventry
Brighton| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–2 | H21%D26%A53% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–2 | H14%D24%A62% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H20%D26%A54% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H22%D24%A54% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H20%D26%A54% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H25%D25%A50% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–2 | H17%D24%A59% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 0–2 | H15%D25%A60% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H22%D27%A51% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–2 | H20%D23%A57% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H15%D23%A62% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H18%D23%A59% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newly promoted Coventry are still without a Premier League goal and are heavily outmatched in possession and chance creation, while Brighton lead the division for xG and control games through the ball. Home advantage and Brighton's occasional defensive lapses keep a draw live, but the visitors' superior quality should tell.
Brighton's superior possession, shot volume and league-high xG should overwhelm a Coventry side still chasing a first Premier League goal; Coventry's best route is set-pieces and counters, but that is unlikely to be enough.
Newly promoted Coventry have struggled for attacking potency in their opening fixtures, whereas Brighton boast one of the highest xG totals in the league. While Coventry may exploit high defensive lines on the counter, Brighton's quality in possession and finishing should see them secure the away win.
Brighton have the league's highest xG (7.4), 102 shots and dominant possession numbers while promoted Coventry remain winless and goalless and unthreatening; Brighton are short-handed and vulnerable defensively so Coventry may get their first goal on the counter/set-piece, but Hurzeler's side should control tempo and outscore them away.
Coventry have been unthreatening since promotion while Brighton lead the Premier League in xG (7.4) and shot volume (102); Brighton's superior ball retention and attacking depth should overwhelm a promoted side, but Coventry's home resistance and Brighton's noted defensive fragility keep the draw and a one-goal margin live.
Brighton's superior firepower, ball retention, and attacking quality—evidenced by their high xG and shot volume—make them clear favourites, though Coventry's counter-attacking threat and home advantage keep the draw and home win possibilities alive.
Coventry have been toothless since promotion and are still searching for their first Premier League goal, while Brighton arrive with the division's highest xG (7.4) and enough firepower to win on the road despite reduced numbers and a shaky defense that keeps the draw live.
Coventry are winless and goalless in their first three Premier League games; Brighton lead the league in xG (7.4) and shot volume (102), dominate possession and press high, making an away win the overwhelming expectation.
Brighton's stronger chance creation and ability to control possession give them a clear edge against a promoted Coventry side that has offered limited attacking threat. Coventry's home advantage and counterattacking opportunities keep the draw and a narrow upset plausible.
Brighton have generated the highest xG in the league (7.4) through dominant possession and shot volume, while newly-promoted Coventry remain scoreless and have looked unthreatening in the Premier League so far. Despite Brighton's occasional defensive fragility and Coventry's counter-attacking outlets, the quality gap and Coventry's inability to find the net make an away win the most likely outcome.
Coventry are winless and goalless after three PL games while Brighton lead the league in xG (7.4) and big chances despite injuries; the visitors' superior quality and chance creation should secure an away win, though Coventry's home chances make a narrow 1-2 the likeliest scoreline.
Coventry sit bottom with zero points and zero goals in three PL matches since promotion, while Brighton lead the league in xG (7.4) and shots, suggesting their attacking quality should overwhelm the hosts. Brighton's defensive vulnerabilities give Coventry an outside chance, but the newly promoted side's toothless attack makes a comfortable away win the likeliest outcome.
Brighton boast the highest xG in the Premier League (7.4) with 102 shots across three games, while newly-promoted Coventry have yet to score and look overmatched at this level. Brighton's defensive vulnerabilities and Coventry's counter-attacking threat keep the draw and home upset alive, but the visitors' firepower should secure a narrow away win.
CoventryBrighton