Chelsea
Hull City| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H63%D24%A13% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H67%D21%A12% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H62%D24%A14% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H56%D25%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H58%D25%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H66%D21%A13% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H58%D24%A18% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H40%D33%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H57%D24%A19% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Chelsea's superior squad depth and attacking output at Stamford Bridge should eventually break down a promoted Hull side that has started well but will sit in a deep 5-4-1 and rely on long distribution to an ineffective McBurnie; Hull's organisation and Chelsea's tendency to labour against low blocks keep the draw at a fair chance.
Chelsea's stronger attacking trio and dominant Stamford Bridge record against Hull should edge a tight contest, though Hull's three clean sheets and Chelsea's ongoing defensive frailty make a draw a credible risk.
Chelsea's superior individual quality and attacking variety through Cole Palmer and Joao Pedro should eventually breach Hull's disciplined 5-4-1 defensive block at Stamford Bridge.
Chelsea's superior attacking quality at Stamford Bridge (Palmer/Rogers between lines, width from Neto/Hato in 3-4-2-1) should eventually unlock Hull's compact 5-4-1, though Hull's unbeaten start and deep block with Ajayi/Egan/Mendy suggests a patient, low-scoring home win rather than a rout.
Chelsea at Stamford Bridge have a clear talent edge (Palmer, Rogers, Joao Pedro) but Hull arrive unbeaten and third in the table after beating Manchester United, with a compact 5-4-1 explicitly built to frustrate Chelsea's 3-4-2-1 central overloads, making a tight, low-scoring game most likely with the hosts edging it through a single moment of quality.
Chelsea's superior squad depth, attacking quality, and home advantage make them clear favorites, but Hull's disciplined defensive structure and recent form as a newly promoted side suggest they are capable of frustrating the hosts and potentially earning a draw or narrow loss.
Chelsea's superior squad quality, home advantage and dominant H2H record (Hull have never won at Stamford Bridge in 18 visits) make them clear favourites, with Cole Palmer's prolific record against promoted sides adding to the threat. However, Hull arrive unbeaten with three straight league clean sheets and Chelsea are missing Caicedo, Henderson and Emegha while conceding freely, so the draw and a stubborn Hull upset carry genuine weight.
Chelsea's potent 3-4-2-1 attack led by Palmer, Rogers and João Pedro should overwhelm Hull's 5-4-1 at Stamford Bridge, but the Tigers' disciplined defensive structure and strong early-season form make a tight game likely.
Chelsea’s superior attacking quality and home advantage should eventually break down Hull’s compact 5-4-1. Hull’s unbeaten start and defensive structure raise the draw chance, but their limited attacking threat makes a controlled Chelsea win most likely.
Chelsea's superior attacking talent (Palmer, Rogers, João Pedro all in form) and home advantage at Stamford Bridge should eventually break down Hull's resolute 5-4-1, but Hull's three consecutive clean sheets and disciplined defensive structure under Jakirovic will keep this tight. Chelsea's leaky defense (7 conceded in 3 PL games) and midweek fatigue from the 6-3 Leeds cup game make a Hull goal likely, but the Blues' firepower at home edges a narrow win.
Chelsea's superior squad depth and home attacking setup (Palmer, Pedro, wing-backs) should overcome Hull's compact 5-4-1, though the newly promoted side's early unbeaten structure and set-piece threat keep the draw and upset live; 2-1 is the modal outcome.
Hull's historic clean-sheet run and Chelsea's inability to keep clean sheets (7 conceded in 3 games) point to a cagey, low-scoring contest where both sides find the net once. Chelsea's superior attacking talent at home nudges them ahead in outright win probability, but their poor home record against newly promoted sides (D3 L1 in last 4) and Hull's disciplined 5-4-1 block make a draw the likeliest single outcome.
Chelsea's superior attacking quality with Palmer, Rogers and Joao Pedro at Stamford Bridge should eventually break down Hull's disciplined 5-4-1 block, though the Tigers' unbeaten start and defensive structure suggest they can keep it competitive for long stretches.
ChelseaHull City