Chelsea
Brighton| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H54%D24%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D24%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H53%D25%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H55%D24%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H47%D25%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D25%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H50%D24%A26% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Chelsea at home with Palmer in strong early-season form and a deeper attacking squad under Alonso should edge it, but Brighton's possession-based style and recent good record at Stamford Bridge keep this close and make a draw a live outcome.
Chelsea's home advantage and in-form attacking trio, led by a resurgent Palmer, should give them the edge, while Brighton are weakened by Baleba's likely departure but remain dangerous enough to keep it close.
Chelsea boast formidable attacking firepower spearheaded by Cole Palmer and home advantage at Stamford Bridge, giving them the edge despite Brighton's capability to threaten in transition.
Chelsea enter the match with strong momentum and a potent attack featuring Cole Palmer, who is in excellent form under Alonso. While Brighton have historically performed well at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea's offensive depth and home advantage make them slight favorites in what is expected to be a high-scoring encounter.
Chelsea's home advantage at Stamford Bridge and attacking quality with Palmer and Joao Pedro roaming under Alonso gives them a slight edge, but Brighton's recent strong record there and Hurzeler's collective pressing makes this a tight, goal-filled contest.
Chelsea are favored at Stamford Bridge with Palmer returning to top form and an exciting front three under Alonso, but Brighton's strong historical record at the Bridge and the fact that both sides find the net regularly keeps this tight — a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.
Chelsea, near full-strength with Caicedo fit and Palmer rediscovered in a free role under Alonso, start the season at home with a potent front line against a Brighton side possibly losing Baleba. However, Brighton have been a bogey team at Stamford Bridge in recent seasons and carry genuine attacking threat under Hurzeler, so the draw and away win retain honest weight.
Chelsea's attack (Palmer, Rogers, new signings) looks potent at home, but Brighton have recent success at Stamford Bridge and Chelsea's defensive reinforcements aren't ready; early-season openness favors a high-scoring home win.
Chelsea’s home advantage and stronger attacking options, particularly Palmer in a free role, make them favourites. Brighton carry a meaningful scoring threat and have performed well at Stamford Bridge recently, so a close, high-event contest is likely.
Chelsea are strong favorites at Stamford Bridge under Xabi Alonso with Palmer in excellent form and a potent attacking trio, but Brighton's historical success at the Bridge and Chelsea's unavailable marquee defensive signings keep this competitive. Chelsea's home advantage and attacking depth should edge a high-quality, open contest.
Chelsea at home under Alonso with Palmer in form and a strong attacking trio should edge an open game against Hurzeler's Brighton, who have historically troubled them at the Bridge but lack the same squad depth early in the season. Both sides score freely so a narrow home win is the most likely decisive outcome.
Chelsea's potent attacking trio of Palmer, Estêvão Willian, and Rogers under Alonso's system gives them the edge at Stamford Bridge, with Palmer in resurgent form and Brighton unable to mark him one-on-one. However, Chelsea's defensive reinforcements may not yet be bedded in, and Brighton have historically been competitive at the Bridge, keeping this closer than a dominant home win.
Chelsea's front three of Joao Pedro, Rogers and Palmer looked electric in their 3-2 opening-day win at Fulham, while Brighton are missing a devastating list of attackers including Hinshelwood, Mitoma, Minteh, Rutter and Ferguson — severely weakening their threat despite an impressive (if flattering) 4-0 win over a depleted Villa side. Home advantage under Alonso and Brighton's injury crisis tip this toward Chelsea, though Brighton's recent H2H dominance and Hurzeler's tactical organization keep the away side in contention.
ChelseaBrighton