Brighton
Leeds| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Missed | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H54%D24%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–1 | H49%D27%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H43%D27%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H46%D27%A27% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H44%D27%A29% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H46%D28%A26% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Brighton dominate possession at home (73%+ in both opening games) and are unbeaten in 10 home league meetings with Leeds (W7 D3), though their attacking injury list (Mitoma, Minteh, Ferguson, Hinshelwood) and the leaky display at Chelsea temper expectations. Leeds are unbeaten and compact in Farke's 3-4-2-1 with Calvert-Lewin scoring, but lose Rodon and rarely create much at the Amex, so a narrow home win edging a plausible draw looks right.
Brighton's strong Amex record against Leeds is offset by a long injury list, while Leeds' unbeaten away start makes a tight contest likely, with 1-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Brighton's tactical cohesion and attacking depth at the Amex Stadium give them the edge over a spirited Leeds side still adapting to top-flight demands.
Brighton have home advantage at the Amex and attacking momentum via Hinshelwood's recent scoring run, while Leeds under Farke have made a promising start but face a step up away against established Premier League opposition; markedly different defensive pictures points to both teams scoring with Brighton edging it.
Brighton hold a strong home advantage at the Amex and have attacking firepower led by in-form Hinshelwood (3 goals in last 3) supported by Welbeck and Minteh, but their noted defensive fragility gives an in-form, confident Leeds side — buoyed by a promising start under Farke and the experienced Calvert-Lewin/Nmecha strike pairing — genuine chances, making a narrow Brighton win the most likely single outcome with a draw a close second.
Brighton enter this fixture with a stronger defensive setup and attacking threats like Jack Hinshelwood, who has been in excellent form. Leeds, while promising, have shown defensive vulnerabilities early in the season, making Brighton slight favorites at home. However, Leeds' attacking intent could lead to a competitive match, with a draw a realistic outcome.
Brighton are unbeaten in 10 home league meetings with Leeds (W7 D3, eight straight Amex clean sheets) and have scored 7 goals in two games this season, making them favourites despite a heavy injury list (Mitoma, Minteh, Wieffer, Hinshelwood, Ferguson out). However, Leeds arrive unbeaten (W1 D1 in the league plus a cup win), are strong on the road, and can exploit a Brighton defence that shipped four at Chelsea — though the loss of Joe Rodon weakens their own back line, so an open, high-scoring contest with a live draw chance is expected.
Brighton's home advantage and Jack Hinshelwood's strong form (3 goals in 3 games) offset by five first-team absentees; Leeds under Farke have made a promising start with Calvert-Lewin and Nmecha offering attacking threat.
Brighton’s home advantage and relatively positive squad availability give them the edge, though Leeds’ promising start makes this competitive. Brighton’s attacking quality should narrowly overcome a Leeds side facing a tougher defensive test.
Brighton are strong at home (5 wins in last 6 at the Amex) and Leeds have never won in 10 visits there, losing 7 of the last 8. However, Brighton's significant injury crisis — missing Mitoma, Minteh, Hinshelwood, and potentially Ferguson and Rutter — blunts their attacking threat and keeps this closer than the H2H record suggests, with Leeds' solid away defensive form (1-0 at Forest, unbeaten in 3) making them live underdogs.
Brighton dominate possession and home H2H (unbeaten in 10 vs Leeds at Amex with many clean sheets) after a 4-0 Villa thrashing, but injuries and a 4-3 Chelsea reverse leave them open; Leeds are unbeaten with a stingy new defence yet historically winless at this venue, so a narrow home win is most likely.
Brighton's extraordinary home record against Leeds (unbeaten in 10, eight consecutive clean sheets at the Amex) and their prolific start (7 goals in 2 games) give them the edge, though missing Hinshelwood, Minteh and Mitoma blunts their attack. Leeds' defensive solidity under Farke (just 1 goal conceded in 2 PL games) and unbeaten start suggests they'll make this competitive, but Brighton's home dominance in this fixture should prevail.
Brighton's remarkable home record against Leeds (8 consecutive clean sheets at the Amex) and Leeds losing key defender Rodon tip the balance toward the Seagulls, though Brighton's defensive frailties (4 conceded at Chelsea) and Leeds' unbeaten resilience keep the draw and away win in play.
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