Brighton
Crystal Palace| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H50%D27%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–1 | H48%D28%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H47%D27%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H45%D29%A26% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H44%D26%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Brighton come in on a five-game winning run with four clean sheets and home advantage, but Palace are solid, compact in their 3-4-2-1 and unbeaten in the last four M23 derbies, a fixture that has produced eight draws in 18 meetings. A tight, low-scoring game with Brighton marginally favoured but the draw well above its baseline.
Brighton’s strong form, home advantage and recent clean-sheet run make them narrow favourites, but Palace have been resilient in recent M23 meetings, keeping a draw and away upset on the table.
Brighton enter the M23 derby on a five-game winning streak across all competitions with excellent defensive solidity under Fabian Hürzeler. While Crystal Palace have historically troubled the Seagulls, Brighton's attacking form and home advantage make them the most likely winners.
Brighton's five-game winning run (four clean sheets) and home advantage at the Amex makes them favourites, but Palace's unbeaten last four derbies (W3 D1) and 8 draws in 18 meetings plus both sides playing in Europe midweek points to a tight, narrow home win rather than a rout.
Brighton are on a five-game winning run across all competitions with four clean sheets, and the Amex is a fortress under Hurzeler, giving them the edge. However, the M23 derby historically produces draws (8 of 18) and Palace are unbeaten in the last four H2Hs (W3 D1), so the draw probability remains meaningful. Palace's attacking threats (Kamada, Pino) can punish Brighton's high line, but Brighton's form with De Cuyper and Kostoulas in form tilts the most likely scoreline to a narrow home win.
Brighton's strong recent form (five-game winning run) and home advantage are key, but Crystal Palace's resilience in M23 derbies (unbeaten in last four) and compact defensive tactics make them a tough opponent. Draw probability is significant given the historical trend of eight out of eighteen meetings ending level.
Brighton carry a five-game winning run with four clean sheets into this home derby, with De Cuyper in electric form, making them deserved favourites. However, Palace are unbeaten in the last four M23 derbies (W3 D1), the fixture has a high historical draw rate (8 of 18), and Sage's compact 3-4-2-1 with Kamada and Pino in form keeps the away win and draw very live.
Brighton enter on a five-match winning run with four clean sheets and home advantage, but Palace are unbeaten in the last four M23 derbies (W3 D1) and earned a 3-1 comeback win over Forest last time out.
Brighton’s five-match winning run and four clean sheets give them the edge at home, although Thursday’s European fixture could reduce that advantage. Palace’s recent win and strong derby record—unbeaten in the last four meetings—make a tight draw the likeliest exact score.
Brighton are in outstanding form with five consecutive wins and four clean sheets, playing at home with attacking threats in De Cuyper and Kostoulas. However, Crystal Palace's recent M23 derby dominance (unbeaten in last four, W3 D1) and their 3-1 comeback win over Forest suggest they can trouble Brighton, making this a competitive but home-favored contest.
Brighton sit 3rd with 13pts from 6, +13 GD and a five-game winning run including clean sheets, while Palace are 12th on 7pts with a weaker away record; home form and attacking output favour a Seagulls win despite Palace's recent H2H edge and derby draw tendency.
Brighton are 3rd with a +13 GD and on a five-game winning streak across all competitions (four clean sheets), but Crystal Palace have won their last two visits to the Amex and are unbeaten in the last four M23 derbies (W3 D1), with their 3-1 comeback win over Forest showing attacking confidence. Brighton's superior form and home advantage make them favourites, yet the historical H2H trend keeps this closer than league positions suggest.
Brighton are on a five-game winning run with four clean sheets and have home advantage, but Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last four M23 derby meetings (W3 D1), making this tighter than form alone suggests. Brighton's superior current form and attacking quality under Hürzeler should edge it, though Palace's compact 3-4-2-1 setup and derby history keep the away side in contention.
BrightonCrystal Palace