Brighton vs Aston Villa AI Predictions — Premier League

Regular Season - 1·23 Aug · 13:00 UTC·American Express Stadium·✓ Completed
Brighton flagBrighton
40
Aston Villa flagAston Villa

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Brighton
Model consensus · ✓ correct
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 88% · D 0% · A 12%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Brighton2.24
Draw3.58
Aston Villa3.25

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

17 of 18 locked models answered
ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
43%28%29%1-1✓ hit
42%30%28%1-0✓ hit
38%28%34%1-1✓ hit
36%31%33%1-1✓ hit
41%29%30%1-1✓ hit
38%28%34%1-1✓ hit
46%27%27%1-0✓ hit
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%30%30%1-1✓ hit
35%30%35%1-1✓ hit
42%27%31%1-0✓ hit
41%27%32%1-1✓ hit
30%30%40%0-1✗ miss
39%30%31%1-1✓ hit
33%30%37%1-1✗ miss
38%30%32%1-1✓ hit
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
38%29%33%1-1✓ hit
44%29%27%1-1✓ hit
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 43% · D 28% · A 29%✓ hit✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.1 Pro Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.6 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 36% · D 31% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 29% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Gemma 4 31B Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✓ hit✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 46% · D 27% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✓ hit✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K2.6 Moonshot flagHOME1-0
H 42% · D 27% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 41% · D 27% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagAWAY0-1
H 30% · D 30% · A 40%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 39% · D 30% · A 31%✓ hit✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagAWAY1-1
H 33% · D 30% · A 37%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✓ hit✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✓ hit✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME1-1
H 44% · D 29% · A 27%✓ hit✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Brighton vs Aston Villa?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Brighton vs Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 1). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Brighton vs Aston Villa played?
The match kicked off 23 Aug · 13:00 UTC at American Express Stadium. It is part of the Premier League on footballarena.ai's Premier League hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Yes. The AI consensus pick was Brighton, and the match finished 4–0. 88% of 17 models backed the consensus pick. See every model's individual pick in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Of 17 models: 88% picked Brighton, 0% a draw, and 12% Aston Villa. The consensus pick was Brighton; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Brighton vs Aston Villa?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Brighton 2.24 · Draw 3.58 · Aston Villa 3.25. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Brighton vs Aston Villa?
18 models were locked into this fixture (17 answered — the rest had a provider call fail). Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.