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Brighton vs Arsenal — predictions and result

Brighton
90-minute result3–0
Arsenal
Regular Season - 5Amex Stadium

Predictions

12 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–2
H27%D25%A48%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–2
H24%D24%A52%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–2
H23%D26%A51%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–2
H28%D24%A48%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–2
H29%D28%A43%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot1–2
H27%D26%A47%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H25%D25%A50%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–2
H24%D25%A51%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–2
H27%D25%A48%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–2
H28%D26%A46%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–2
H28%D28%A44%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–2
H31%D27%A42%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Arsenal arrive with a perfect four-win start, elite defensive structure and squad depth, making them the stronger side even away from home. Brighton's high press, home record against the big clubs and recent goalscoring form keep this competitive, so a narrow Arsenal win or a draw are both realistic.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Arsenal arrive as the division's most in-form side with four straight wins and stronger overall quality, but Brighton's high-scoring home attack and pressing threat make an away win close rather than comfortable.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Arsenal enter in flawless league form with four wins from four and possess the defensive solidity to withstand Brighton's high-pressing style. While Brighton are dangerous going forward at home, their vulnerability against transitions gives Arsenal the edge to secure all three points.

Muse Spark 1.2

Arsenal arrive 4-from-4 and most in-form while Brighton concede heavily on fast breaks (4 counter-attack goals conceded), but Brighton's prolific scoring (4+ goals in 4 of last 5) at home points to a close, high-scoring Arsenal win.

MiniMax M3

Arsenal are the most in-form side in the division with four straight league wins and the squad depth that even allows rotation wins in the cup, while Brighton's high-pressing, high-scoring style at home (4+ goals in 4 of 5 games) makes them dangerous and supports giving the draw genuine weight. Arsenal's superior quality and title-winning experience should see them through, but Brighton's attacking threat suggests a tight, two-goal-margin win with both sides scoring.

Kimi K3

Arsenal arrive as the league's most in-form side with four wins from four and a deep, well-rested squad after midweek EFL Cup rotation, giving them the quality edge. However, Brighton at the Amex have scored four or more in four of their last five and press aggressively, making this Arsenal's toughest test so far and keeping draw and home-win probabilities substantial.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Arsenal arrive as the division's form side with four straight wins and a midfield of Rice and Guimarães built to control Brighton's aggressive press, while the Seagulls' vulnerability to counter-attacks (four conceded already) plays into Saka, Ødegaard and Havertz's strengths. Brighton's prolific home scoring keeps the draw and home win live, but Arsenal's defensive solidity and transitional threat make them the clear favourites.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Arsenal’s strong form and superior quality in key attacking areas make them favourites, particularly against Brighton’s vulnerability to counter-attacks. Brighton’s recent scoring threat and aggressive press should keep the contest competitive.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Arsenal arrive in superb form with four wins from four and a rested core after a midweek EFL Cup rotation, giving them a clear edge in quality through Ødegaard, Saka, and Havertz. However, Brighton's aggressive high-turnover pressing (league-leading 13 shots from high turnovers) and prolific home scoring (four goals in four of five) make this a genuine contest, keeping the draw probability elevated and ensuring Brighton are likely to find the net.

Grok 4.5

Arsenal enter with a perfect four-win start and greater squad depth, making them the likeliest winners even away from home. Brighton's high press and recent multi-goal scoring form keep the margin tight and support a competitive 1-2 rather than a blowout.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Arsenal's perfect 4-from-4 record and superior defensive structure should edge a tight contest, but Brighton's prolific attack and aggressive home pressing make them dangerous—particularly via counters where they create chances but also concede, setting up an open game with goals at both ends.

GLM-5.2

Arsenal enter matchweek 5 as the league's most in-form side with four wins from four, but Brighton have been prolific at home — scoring four-plus goals in four of five games — and their high-pressing style creates chances that could trouble Arsenal's defence. Arsenal's superior squad quality and momentum edge a closely contested fixture.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBrighton
4.85
DrawLevel at 90′
4.04
AwayArsenal
1.72