Brentford
Sunderland| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H45%D30%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H50%D26%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H48%D28%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H43%D29%A28% | Missed | Exact |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H56%D24%A20% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Brentford have made a strong start (10 goals in all competitions, 48 shots, unbeaten with a solid recent home record at the Gtech), while Sunderland — missing Diarra and integrating deadline-day arrivals — have lost their last three Premier League trips to London and are winless in four against the Bees. Sunderland's low-xG-conceded defensive structure keeps this competitive, so a narrow home win with a decent draw chance looks right.
Brentford's league-best attacking numbers (48 shots in 2 games) meet a Sunderland side with a dreadful London away record (L12 of last 16), though the Black Cats' resolute defence should keep it tight.
Brentford boast strong home cohesion and attacking fluency through Mikkel Damsgaard and Kevin Schade. Sunderland's revamped lineup brings quality, but the Bees hold the edge at the Gtech Community Stadium.
Brentford unbeaten with 48 shots in two games and only two home defeats in 11 months with 5 clean sheets in 11 at the Gtech, while Sunderland have won just 5 of 19 away last season, lost 3 straight in London conceding 3 each and lost 3-0 in this fixture in January. Sunderland's compact defence (3 shots on target conceded in 2 games) keeps it low-scoring.
Brentford are a well-established Premier League side with strong home form at the Gtech, and they have won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Sunderland. However, Igor Thiago's wastefulness in front of goal (7 shots, 0 goals) and Sunderland's organized 4-2-3-1 with experienced players like Xhaka and Roefs suggest a tight, low-scoring game rather than a comfortable home win.
Brentford hold a slight edge in recent form and home advantage, while Sunderland's lopsided 4-2-3-1 suggests defensive vulnerabilities. However, Sunderland's tactical approach and recent creative contributions off the bench make a draw a realistic outcome.
Brentford have started the season in blistering attacking form (3-0 vs Spurs with ~4 xG, then 22 shots in a 1-1 at Leeds) and are strong at the Gtech, making them clear favourites against a well-organised but low-scoring Sunderland side (one goal in two games, despite finishing 7th last season). Sunderland's quality — Xhaka, Mukiele, Brobbey and impact subs like Isidor/Diarra — keeps the draw and an away upset very live, but Brentford's firepower should edge it.
Brentford's home advantage and Premier League experience outweigh Sunderland's promising but unproven top-flight XI; the Bees have won two of the last four head-to-heads and Igor Thiago's underlying chance creation suggests goals will come.
Brentford’s home advantage gives them a narrow overall edge, but Igor Thiago’s early finishing struggles lower confidence in a home win. Sunderland’s structured 4-2-3-1 and attacking options make a competitive draw plausible.
Brentford are in superb home form with only two Premier League home defeats in 11 months and five clean sheets in 11 home league games in 2026, while generating a league-high 48 shots in two matches. Sunderland have won just 8 points in their last 16 away PL matches in London (losing the last three, including 0-3 at Brentford last season) and face a trip to the Gtech with key absentees, making a comfortable Brentford home win the most likely outcome.
Brentford are unbeaten with heavy shot volume and strong 2026 home form, while Sunderland's poor recent London away record and last 3-0 loss here tilt the edge homeward despite their compact defence and Fulham win.
Brentford have an excellent home defensive record (5 clean sheets in 11 PL home games in 2026), are 2nd in the league for shots this season (48), and hammered Sunderland 3-0 at the Gtech in January; however, Sunderland showed real attacking quality in their xG-heavy win over Fulham and could threaten with Isidor and new signing Fofana, making this tighter than the head-to-head suggests.
Brentford are in strong home form, having beaten Spurs 3-0 on MD1 while generating 48 shots across two matches, and they are unbeaten in four home meetings with Sunderland since 1987. Sunderland's dreadful London away record (W2 D2 L12, conceding three in each of their last three visits) further tilts this toward a comfortable home win.
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