Aston Villa
Arsenal| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 0–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H22%D26%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H25%D27%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H23%D26%A51% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H28%D28%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H35%D28%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H28%D32%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H27%D25%A48% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–2 | H18%D24%A58% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Arsenal arrive as champions with a Community Shield win and a 3-0 opening victory, while Villa are in crisis after a 4-0 thrashing at Brighton, having lost Konsa, Rogers, Tielemans and Digne, with Watkins agitating for a move, no fit recognised striker and Joao Gomes suspended. Villa Park and Emery's record against Arsenal give hosts a puncher's chance, but a low-scoring Arsenal win is much the likeliest outcome.
Arsenal arrive as champions with a 3-0 opening win and a press that troubled Villa last weekend, while Villa lost their opener and have undergone heavy squad turnover. Villa Park's strong recent home record against Arsenal keeps the home and draw chances honest, but Arsenal's form and quality make an away win the likeliest outcome.
Arsenal arrive in dominant form following an impressive opening victory and possess the defensive solidity and pressing structure to exploit Aston Villa's transitional vulnerabilities. While Villa Park remains a tough assignment, the Gunners' superior tactical cohesion should see them secure a narrow away win.
Arsenal arrive as reigning champions off a 3-0 opening win while Villa are rebuilding after losing six Europa League final starters and struggling vs Brighton's press, but Villa's 4 wins in last 7 home league meetings with Arsenal keeps this tight at Villa Park.
Arsenal arrive as reigning champions and after a 3-0 opening win, but Villa Park has historically been a bogey ground for them (4 Villa wins in last 7 league meetings there) and Villa, despite an opening defeat and post-Europa League squad losses, possess a strong home crowd and tactical identity under Emery that makes a tight, low-scoring contest most likely.
Arsenal's strong away form and tactical discipline, combined with Aston Villa's reliance on home support and recent struggles against high-pressing teams, slightly edge the probabilities toward Arsenal. However, Villa's recent home record against Arsenal and the potential for a tightly contested match make a draw a credible outcome.
Arsenal arrive as reigning champions with momentum from a 3-0 opening win over Coventry, while Villa lost their opener to Brighton and have lost six starters from their Europa League final side, suggesting transition. However, Villa's strong recent home record in this fixture (four wins in their last seven PL home games vs Arsenal) and a fired-up Villa Park crowd keep the draw and home win very much live.
Arsenal arrive as champions with a 3-0 opening win, but have lost 3 of their last 5 vs Villa and face a Villa Park side that has won 4 of the last 7 home meetings; Villa's narrow mid-block and electric home support after an opening-day loss make a draw the single most likely outcome, though Arsenal's superior squad depth edges the win probability.
Arsenal arrive with greater continuity and momentum, while Villa are integrating significant personnel changes and showed vulnerability against pressure in their opener. Villa's strong recent home record in this matchup keeps the upset and draw probabilities substantial.
Arsenal enter as reigning Premier League champions off a commanding 3-0 opening-day win, while Aston Villa have undergone major squad turnover — losing six starters from their Europa League final XI — and lost their opener while struggling against Brighton's press. However, Villa Park remains a difficult venue where Villa have won four of their last seven home meetings with Arsenal, keeping this competitive and justifying a meaningful draw probability.
Arsenal enter as defending champions with strong early momentum after a big opening win, while Villa seek a response to their defeat and historically compete well at home; Arsenal's quality and pressing edge make them slight favorites in a tight contest.
Arsenal are defending champions in imperious form—consecutive 3-0 wins and five clean sheets in their last six league games—while Villa were demolished 4-0 by Brighton on opening day and are in transition after losing six Europa League final starters, with key attacking options also carrying injuries. Villa's historically strong home record against Arsenal is undermined by their current squad disruption and lack of readiness.
Arsenal are defending champions in red-hot form (6 scored, 0 conceded in two competitive matches) while Villa are decimated by a summer exodus, suspension to Gomes, Watkins's absence, and a 4-0 opening-day humiliation. Villa Park and Emery's tactical nous offer some resistance, but the gulf in squad quality and current form points clearly to an Arsenal win.
Aston VillaArsenal