Arsenal
Leeds| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H71%D19%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–0 | H57%D25%A18% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H68%D20%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H53%D26%A21% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H47%D30%A23% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Correct | Exact |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H60%D24%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–0 | H42%D33%A25% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H64%D23%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–0 | H45%D28%A27% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H52%D27%A21% | Correct | Exact |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H55%D27%A18% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H63%D22%A15% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Arsenal are vastly stronger and at home against a Leeds side whose unbeaten start has been built on a deep, compact 3-5-2 rather than attacking threat, so a controlled Gunners win is most likely. Leeds' excellent defensive record and Arsenal's missing attacking regulars point to a modest margin rather than a rout.
Arsenal's home strength and dominant recent record against Leeds give them a clear edge, but Leeds' compact 3-5-2 and joint-best defensive record should keep the game tight, making a narrow home win the most likely outcome.
Arsenal hold significant individual quality and home advantage at the Emirates, which should ultimately unlock Leeds' stubborn defensive shape.
Arsenal at Emirates remain favourites with superior depth and Gyokeres' international form, but Leeds arrive unbeaten in 5th with joint-best defence (3 conceded) and a compact 3-5-2 plus Trafford averaging 4 saves per game, pointing to a tight, low-scoring narrow home win.
Arsenal have home advantage and a strong historical record against Leeds, but they are missing two regular attackers and are coming off a defeat to Brighton, while Leeds are unbeaten and boast the joint-best defense in the league (3 goals conceded in 5 games) using a compact 3-5-2 setup. This points to a tight, low-scoring contest where Arsenal's quality at the Emirates should just about see them through, with Gyökeres potentially providing the decisive moment in form.
Arsenal are at home with a strong recent record against Leeds and a potent attack, but Leeds' disciplined defensive structure and current unbeaten form make them a tough opponent, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested match.
Arsenal are title contenders at the Emirates with a long unbeaten H2H run against Leeds and quality throughout the XI (Saka, Odegaard, Rice, Gyökeres), but Leeds arrive unbeaten with the league's joint-best defensive record (3 goals conceded) and a compact 3-5-2, while Arsenal are missing two attacking starters — pointing to a narrow, low-scoring home win with an elevated draw chance.
Arsenal's strong home record against Leeds and Viktor Gyokeres' hot form contrast with Leeds' league-best defence (3 GA in 5) and James Trafford's shot-stopping, while Arsenal miss two regular attackers — pointing to a tight, low-scoring home win.
Arsenal's superior squad quality and home advantage make them clear favourites, but unbeaten Leeds' compact 3-5-2 and strong defensive record should keep the contest tight. Arsenal's reported attacking absences further support a narrow, low-scoring home win.
Arsenal are strong favorites at the Emirates and historically dominant against Leeds, but Leeds' unbeaten run, joint-best defensive record (3 goals conceded), and disciplined 3-5-2 system make this a tight contest. Arsenal's missing attacking starters and coming off a loss to Brighton further tighten the margin, pointing to a narrow home win.
Arsenal at home remain favourites despite Leeds' strong unbeaten start and joint-best defence; Gyokeres' form and home edge tip a narrow win, while Leeds' compact 3-5-2 keeps the draw live.
Arsenal's dominant H2H record and home strength make them clear favourites, but Havertz's absence, Gyokeres only just entering the starting XI, and Leeds' propensity to draw (3 of 5 unbeaten matches) point toward a tight, competitive affair rather than a blowout.
Arsenal are reigning champions sitting second with 12 points from 5 games, have won their last 5+ meetings against Leeds by an aggregate of 20-3, and will be highly motivated after a 3-0 loss to Brighton before the break. However, Leeds are unbeaten (2W-3D) with a strong defensive record, and Arsenal are missing Saliba and Tzolis while Havertz and Konsa are doubts, suggesting a narrower home win rather than a rout.
ArsenalLeeds