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VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln — predictions and result

VfB Stuttgart
90-minute result4–1
1. FC Köln
Regular Season - 2MHPArena

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H58%D23%A19%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–1
H60%D23%A17%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–0
H64%D21%A15%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H54%D24%A22%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H50%D25%A25%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H56%D25%A19%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H58%D24%A18%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI2–1
H61%D23%A16%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H55%D23%A22%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H52%D25%A23%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H56%D23%A21%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H57%D24%A19%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Stuttgart are a top-four calibre side with a strong home record at the MHP Arena and clearly more quality in attack (Undav, Demirovic, Führich, Leweling) than a mid-table Köln, who have tended to struggle away from home. Köln's counter-attacking threat keeps a draw or upset live, but the hosts should edge a moderately open game.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Stuttgart's strong home form and superior squad should drive a response after the Bayern defeat, while Köln's poor away record and key defensive absences make an away win unlikely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

VfB Stuttgart boast vastly superior attacking firepower and tactical coherence at the MHP Arena against a Köln side likely to struggle defensively on the road.

Muse Spark 1.2

Stuttgart at MHPArena remain clear favourites on squad quality (Undav, Demirovic, Leweling, Stiller) and dominant H2H vs Köln despite 1-5 opening loss to Bayern and multiple defensive injuries. Köln arrive buoyed by 3-2 win over Hoffenheim but are a promoted side with poor away record and defensive vulnerability, making a narrow home bounce-back win most likely.

MiniMax M3

VfB Stuttgart are clear favorites at home after a shock opening-week defeat at St. Pauli, with a significantly stronger squad (Leweling retained, Demirovic up front) and the MHP Arena backing. Köln, who have struggled badly in recent months (losing half their games since the turn of the year), are unlikely to cope with Stuttgart's quality even on the road, though a draw remains plausible given Stuttgart's slow start to the season.

Mistral Large 3

VfB Stuttgart are at home with a stronger squad and are likely to bounce back from their previous defeat, while FC Köln have struggled recently and lack the firepower to consistently threaten Stuttgart's defense. However, Köln's resilience and Stuttgart's occasional defensive lapses keep the draw and away win possibilities open.

Kimi K3

Stuttgart field a strong, settled XI (Nübel, Karazor, Undav, Demirovic, Leweling) at home and are motivated to bounce back from their shock opening-day defeat at St. Pauli, while newly-established Köln profile as a lower-table side that struggled for wins in the second half of last season. Home advantage plus the clear squad-quality gap makes a Stuttgart win the most likely outcome, with a draw the main alternative if Köln sit deep and frustrate.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Stuttgart's potent attack (Undav, Demirovic, Führich, Leweling) at home against newly promoted Köln, who struggled in the second half of last season; Stuttgart lost their opener at St. Pauli and will be desperate to bounce back.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Stuttgart have the stronger projected XI and significant home advantage, with Undav, Demirović, Leweling and Führich providing multiple attacking threats. Köln can remain competitive, but Stuttgart are more likely to create enough chances for a narrow win.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Stuttgart are strong favorites at home with a dominant recent H2H record (won both meetings last season including 3-1 at the MHPArena) and superior squad quality through Demirovic, Undav, and Leweling. However, their 5-1 demolition by Bayern in Round 1 exposed defensive vulnerabilities, while Köln's 3-2 comeback win over Hoffenheim — powered by Dallinga's brace — signals genuine attacking threat, making a narrow Stuttgart victory the most likely outcome.

Grok 4.5

Stuttgart are clear home favorites in an early-season Bundesliga clash as a consistently stronger side with superior squad depth and attacking options (Undav, Demirović, Führich, Leweling), while Köln remain a mid-to-lower table outfit still consolidating after promotion cycles; home advantage at the MHP Arena and typical Bundesliga scoring patterns point to a narrow Stuttgart win as the modal outcome, with draws retaining their honest ~25% base rate.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Stuttgart were humiliated 5-1 at Bayern in Round 1 but have a strong home H2H record against Köln (won both meetings last season including 3-1 at MHPArena) and will be highly motivated to bounce back; Köln's encouraging 3-2 comeback win over Hoffenheim on their Bundesliga return suggests they won't roll over, but the quality gap at home should tell.

GLM-5.2

Stuttgart are strong at home (only 3 domestic defeats at MHPArena last season) and dominate this H2H (unbeaten in last 7 meetings, won both fixtures last season). While the 5-1 loss at Bayern was humbling, it came against the champions away; Köln are a newly-promoted side that won just 2 of their final 15 matches last term, making a Stuttgart bounce-back at home the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeVfB Stuttgart
1.54
DrawLevel at 90′
4.99
Away1. FC Köln
5.36