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Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 — predictions and result

Union Berlin
90-minute result1–3
FC Schalke 04
Regular Season - 3An der Alten Försterei

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic1–1
H39%D29%A32%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H38%D31%A31%
MissedMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H48%D28%A24%
MissedMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H47%D27%A26%
MissedMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H44%D28%A28%
MissedMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H40%D30%A30%
MissedMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H50%D26%A24%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–1
H30%D32%A38%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H48%D28%A24%
MissedMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H37%D30%A33%
MissedMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H34%D33%A33%
MissedMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H43%D26%A31%
MissedMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H32%D38%A30%
MissedMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Union are unbeaten-win-less at home in 2026 (two wins in ten) and have leaked seven goals in two matches while missing Ilić, Burke, Imeri and two centre-backs, so their home edge is thin; Schalke are organised under Muslić with Karius in form after holding Bayern, but have yet to score and are without the suspended Schallenberg, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game where a draw is a very live outcome.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Union's home edge and stronger attacking numbers are offset by a depleted defence, while Schalke are compact and well-organised under Karius but still goalless, making a low-scoring draw the most likely single scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Union Berlin hold a distinct home advantage at Stadion An der Alten Försterei and should have enough attacking edge to edge past a Schalke side that remains vulnerable away from home.

Muse Spark 1.2

Union at Alte Försterei remain strong favourites against newly-promoted Schalke despite both starting 0-1-1, with Union's home intensity edging a open game where both sides have looked vulnerable defensively.

MiniMax M3

Both sides enter on identical 0-1-1 records and are hunting a first win, but Union Berlin's home advantage at the Alten Försterei and Schalke's typical away fragility as a promoted side tilt the balance; however, Schalke's offensive threat and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities (suggested by the over 2.5 goals lean) keep the draw and away win very live.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are winless and defensively vulnerable, with Union Berlin slightly favored due to home advantage and Schalke's injury concerns. However, both sides are likely to attack, increasing the chances of an open, high-scoring draw or a narrow home win.

Kimi K3

Union Berlin's home advantage at the Alte Försterei is significant against a newly promoted Schalke side still finding its Bundesliga footing, and both winless teams (0-1-1) have looked defensively vulnerable early on, pointing to an open game with goals that slightly favors the hosts.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Union Berlin's defense has conceded 7 goals in two matches and is missing key defenders, while Schalke's Loris Karius leads the league in saves and kept a clean sheet vs Bayern; however, Schalke have yet to score this season (0 goals in 2 games), and Union's attack generates high-quality chances (4th-best shots-on-target rate). Both sides are winless and desperate for points, making a low-scoring draw the most probable outcome.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Union's home advantage and greater recent Bundesliga stability make them the likelier winner against promoted Schalke. Both sides may approach an early-season meeting cautiously, favoring a narrow, low-scoring result.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Both teams are winless with 1 point each, but Schalke's impressive 0-0 defensive display against Bayern contrasts with their inability to score (0 goals in 2 matches), while Union have shown attacking threat (3 goals) but are defensively vulnerable (7 conceded) and have poor home form in 2026 (2W-5D-3L). Schalke's suspended defensive midfielder Schallenberg and Union's doubtful Imeri create uncertainty, but this shapes up as a tight, cagey affair between two struggling sides where a draw is highly probable.

Grok 4.5

Both sides are winless after two matches with identical 0-1-1 records; Union's leaky defence (7 conceded) and key absences meet Schalke's organised, goalless but resilient setup that just held Bayern, pointing to a tight low-scoring stalemate at the Alte Försterei.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Union Berlin's home advantage at Stadion An der Alten Försterei gives them the edge against a newly-promoted Schalke side, with both teams winless after two matchweeks and reportedly defensively vulnerable (predicted over 2.5 goals). A tight 2-1 home win reflects Union's established Bundesliga stature and Schalke's adjustment to top-flight intensity.

GLM-5.2

Union's porous defense (7 conceded in 2 games) meets a Schalke side that held Bayern to 0-0 but has yet to score all season; with 4 draws in 6 Bundesliga H2H meetings and Union never having beaten Schalke at home, a low-scoring stalemate is the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeUnion Berlin
2.36
DrawLevel at 90′
3.59
AwayFC Schalke 04
3.02