SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H30%D27%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H23%D25%A52% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H25%D29%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H30%D28%A42% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H30%D26%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H29%D27%A44% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H26%D27%A47% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H28%D28%A44% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Stuttgart have the stronger squad but have been leaky at the back (nine conceded in four) and are winless in their last five Bundesliga away games, while Paderborn found form with a 3-1 win over Hoffenheim and are tough at the Home Deluxe Arena. Stuttgart remain modest favourites, though a tight, low-scoring draw is a very live outcome.
Stuttgart's stronger squad and dominant head-to-head record make them the likeliest winner, but poor away form, defensive absences and Seimen's debut give Paderborn hope after their 3-1 win.
VfB Stuttgart possess superior attacking quality across the pitch despite early defensive inconsistencies. Newly promoted Paderborn have struggled for attacking firepower following key summer departures, giving the visitors the edge.
Paderborn lost promotion core (Bilbija 15 goals, Brackelmann, keeper Seimen) and face Seimen debuting for Stuttgart against his ex-club, while Stuttgart still score (1.5/game) but leak 2.25/game and trail Paderborn on recent Sofascore rating, making a narrow away win in a high-scoring game the slight favourite at home.
Stuttgart remain the stronger side on paper despite their defensive struggles (2.25 GA/match), but Paderborn's severe attacking depletion — losing 15-goal top scorer Bilbija plus keeper Seimen to Stuttgart — caps their ceiling. Paderborn's home advantage and Stuttgart's leaky back line give the promoted side a real chance of nicking a goal, making a narrow Stuttgart win or draw the most plausible outcomes.
Paderborn have lost key attacking talent and face a Stuttgart side with offensive firepower but defensive vulnerabilities, making an away win slightly more likely, though a draw is also a strong possibility given both teams' inconsistencies.
Stuttgart own far superior quality (Undav-led attack, Champions League side), but arrive in wretched form — one win in four, ~2.25 goals conceded per game — and start 20-year-old debutant keeper Dennis Seimen against his former club with a UCL trip to Bratislava looming four days later. Paderborn are compact at home (0-0 at Mainz, 3-1 win over Hoffenheim) yet badly goal-shy after losing Bilbija, so Stuttgart's attacking edge should still tell in a tight, low-margin away win.
Paderborn lost key players Seimen, Brackelmann and top scorer Bilbija; Stuttgart despite defensive leaks (2.25 GA/match) possess greater attacking quality and Seimen is highly motivated against his former club.
Stuttgart's greater squad quality gives them the edge against a promoted Paderborn side weakened by major departures. Stuttgart's recent defensive leakage and Seimen's debut in goal keep the draw and home-upset chances significant.
Stuttgart are the stronger side on paper but have been inconsistent (L-W-L-L) with a leaky defense (2.25 goals conceded per match). Paderborn, newly promoted, lost key summer players including top scorer Bilbija (15 goals) and loan keeper Seimen, but their home advantage and Stuttgart's defensive frailties keep this competitive. Stuttgart's superior squad depth should edge a narrow away win.
Stuttgart's superior squad quality and attack (6 GF already) should prevail despite a poor start and leaky defense, especially given dominant H2H; Paderborn's recent home win over Hoffenheim and Stuttgart's away struggles keep it competitive with a realistic draw chance.
Stuttgart boast significantly superior attacking quality (Undav, Pejčinović, El Khannouss) and Champions League-calibre squad depth, but their defensive vulnerabilities (2.25 conceded per match) and inconsistent recent form keep this competitive; Paderborn are newly promoted, lost their top scorer Bilbija on a free and goalkeeper Seimen (who ironically debuts for Stuttgart here), making a home upset less likely despite their fighting spirit.
Stuttgart's superior squad quality (Undav, Pejčinović, El Khannouss) should eventually tell against a promoted side, but their poor away form (0 wins in 5 Bundesliga away) and defensive injuries keep Paderborn's chances and the draw firmly in play.
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart