SC Paderborn 07
1899 Hoffenheim| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H29%D26%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H26%D30%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–2 | H27%D26%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–2 | H28%D25%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 0–1 | H21%D26%A53% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H25%D28%A47% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–2 | H30%D27%A43% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H24%D28%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–2 | H25%D27%A48% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 1–2 | H17%D23%A60% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Newly promoted Paderborn have started poorly and face a Hoffenheim side with clearly superior squad quality coming off a strong previous campaign; the Home Deluxe Arena and Paderborn's aggressive, high-tempo style keep this closer than a typical mismatch, so a narrow away win is most likely with a real chance of a draw.
Paderborn are newly promoted, winless and still goalless after three Bundesliga matches, while Hoffenheim have the stronger squad and are coming off a first league win at Stuttgart. Hoffenheim's short rest after a Europa League away trip and Paderborn's home desperation raise the draw risk, but the visitors remain the likeliest winners.
Hoffenheim boast superior individual quality and top-flight experience against newly promoted Paderborn, who have struggled to find their footing early in the season.
Newly promoted Paderborn are winless early and face established Bundesliga side Hoffenheim, whose superior squad quality outweighs Paderborn's home advantage at the Home Deluxe Arena, making a narrow away win most likely.
Paderborn is a newly promoted side with limited Bundesliga resources, while Hoffenheim is an established mid-table club with significantly greater squad depth. Hoffenheim's superior quality should outweigh Paderborn's home advantage, though promoted sides often grind out results at home, keeping the draw probability honest near the league average. Historical head-to-head at this venue ended 1-1, but Paderborn's current squad is weaker than their previous Bundesliga incarnation.
Paderborn have failed to score in all three Bundesliga matches since promotion (0-0, 0-1, 0-3) and lost their key attackers from last season, making a home win unlikely despite the Home Deluxe Arena crowd. Hoffenheim are inconsistent and travel back from a Thursday Europa League defeat in Crete, but last season's fifth-place side has far superior quality and is unbeaten in all six top-flight meetings with Paderborn, so a narrow, low-scoring away win is the modal outcome.
Hoffenheim's Europa League-caliber squad and proven manager Ilzer hold a clear quality edge over newly promoted Paderborn, who lost key players (Bilbija, Brackelmann) and field a very young side under a first-time Bundesliga coach. Paderborn's home grit and a 1-1 draw in their last home H2H (2019/20) keep the draw probability honest, but Hoffenheim's attack led by Kramaric should exploit a vulnerable Paderborn defense.
Hoffenheim’s greater top-flight experience and squad quality make them slight favorites against newly promoted Paderborn. Paderborn’s home advantage should keep the match competitive, with both teams likely to score.
Hoffenheim are the clearly stronger side (5th last season, Europa League level) and have scored in every match, while newly-promoted Paderborn are winless and scoreless through 3 matchdays. However, Hoffenheim's leaky defense (6 conceded in 3 games), midweek Europa League fatigue from their trip to Crete, and Paderborn's home desperation keep the draw probability elevated.
Hoffenheim are the established Bundesliga side with superior squad quality and attacking threat, while newly-promoted Paderborn will be competitive at home but likely concede more; early-season lack of form data and historical draws support a narrow away win as the modal outcome.
Paderborn are newly promoted and likely to face adjustment challenges, while Hoffenheim are an established upper-midtable Bundesliga side with a clear quality advantage. Home support gives Paderborn some lift, but Hoffenheim's superior squad depth and Bundesliga experience should see them through to an away win.
Hoffenheim finished 5th last season with 61 points and European qualification, while Paderborn are a newly promoted side with a young, depleted squad that has never survived a Bundesliga season. The quality gap is significant enough to favor Hoffenheim even away from home, though Paderborn's home grit keeps a draw in play.
SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim