RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–0 | H71%D19%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H68%D21%A11% | Correct | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H71%D19%A10% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H67%D21%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 2–0 | H67%D20%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–0 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–0 | H70%D18%A12% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–0 | H58%D26%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 2–0 | H66%D21%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–0 | H65%D20%A15% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H62%D22%A16% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–0 | H68%D19%A13% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H70%D19%A11% | Correct | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Leipzig are a top-four calibre side at home and have been creating heavily (96 shots, 12 goals in their last five), while Hamburg sit bottom and have yet to score this season with minimal attacking output. Leipzig's injury absences (Baumgartner, Klostermann, Reitz) and HSV's defensive reshuffle keep the margin modest rather than emphatic.
Leipzig are strong at home and clearly superior in attack, while Hamburg have failed to score in their two Bundesliga matches and are reshuffling defensively. HSV's lack of output makes a Leipzig win with a clean sheet the most likely outcome.
RB Leipzig boast vastly superior attacking quality and home advantage against a newly reshuffled Hamburger SV side that has struggled for goals early in the campaign.
Leipzig at home against bottom-placed, scoreless HSV who need a defensive reshuffle and have managed just 3 goals from 26 shots vs Leipzig's 12 from 96; Leipzig's dominance in last four H2H and home advantage outweighs bounce-back pressure and absences.
RB Leipzig have been in dominant attacking form (12 goals from 96 shots across the last five matches) while Hamburger SV sit bottom of the table and have failed to score in either of their first two Bundesliga fixtures, so a comfortable home win with a clean sheet is the most likely outcome despite Leipzig's several midfield and defensive injuries.
RB Leipzig are significantly stronger on paper and in recent form, with a clear attacking edge and fewer key absences compared to Hamburger SV, who are struggling defensively and offensively. The gap in shot volume and goal-scoring further tilts the balance toward Leipzig.
Leipzig are at home against the league's bottom side: Hamburg have failed to score in both Bundesliga matches this season (3 goals from 26 shots across their last five), while Leipzig's attack has been far more productive and they've dominated recent head-to-heads. Leipzig's absentees (Baumgartner, Klostermann, Reitz, Gebel) and their need to bounce back from a defeat temper the margin slightly, but the gulf in attacking output points to a comfortable home win, with the draw the main alternative if Leipzig's reshuffled side misfires.
Leipzig's heavy shot volume (96 shots, 12 goals in five games) contrasts sharply with Hamburg's blunt attack (0 goals in two league matches, 3 goals from 26 shots overall). Despite Leipzig missing Baumgartner, Gebel, Klostermann and Reitz, their squad depth and Hamburg's defensive reshuffle plus bottom-side form make a home win the clear lean.
Leipzig's stronger squad, home advantage and much greater attacking output make them clear favorites. Hamburg's reported scoring struggles and defensive reshuffle point toward a controlled home win, despite several Leipzig absences.
RB Leipzig are heavy favorites at home against a Hamburger SV side that has failed to score in both of their opening two Bundesliga matches and managed only 3 goals from 26 shots in their last five games. Despite some injury absences (Baumgartner, Klostermann, Reitz), Leipzig's attacking output (12 goals from 96 shots in the same span) dwarfs Hamburg's, and the visitors' defensive reshuffle against a superior Leipzig attack points to a comfortable home win.
Leipzig are clear favorites at home against a newly promoted or struggling HSV side that has failed to score in their opening Bundesliga matches and shown very limited attacking output. Despite a few Leipzig absences, the gulf in chance creation and quality points to a controlled home win, most likely by a clean-sheet margin.
Hamburg have failed to score in either of their opening two Bundesliga matches and managed just 3 goals from 26 shots across their last five games in all competitions, while Leipzig have been prolific with 12 goals from 96 shots over the same stretch — the gulf in attacking output makes a comfortable home win the clear most likely outcome despite Leipzig's injury absences.
Leipzig may be on a two-match losing run across competitions but dominated Matchday 1 (3-0 vs Gladbach) and lead the Bundesliga in shots (42) and xG (6.2), while Hamburg are winless, goalless, and coming off a 5-0 home thrashing by Mainz with a reshuffled defense — the quality and form gap strongly favors the hosts.
RB LeipzigHamburger SV