Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H40%D29%A31% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H37%D31%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H38%D30%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 1–0 | H40%D28%A32% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D30%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H38%D28%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H42%D30%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H43%D28%A29% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Two similarly-matched mid-table sides early in the season, with HSV's home advantage at the Volksparkstadion offset by Mainz's greater top-flight stability; both have looked short of attacking sharpness in the opening round, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game.
Hamburg's home opener and new signings give them a slight edge, but Mainz's strong away form and defensive solidity, plus both teams' opening-day scoring struggles, point to a tight, low-scoring contest.
Both sides enter Matchday 2 seeking their first goal and win of the campaign, pointing towards a tightly contested and low-scoring encounter in Hamburg.
HSV have home advantage at the Volksparkstadion and recorded their biggest win in this fixture last season, but both sides are still seeking a first goal after opening-day blanks and Mainz are boosted by Stefan Posch being ready to start, so a tight low-scoring home win is narrowly most likely.
Newly promoted HSV enjoy a home opener at Volksparkstadion and boast psychological momentum from their biggest Bundesliga win last term coming in this fixture, but Mainz are an established top-flight side who only drew their opener against Paderborn and will be determined to respond, making a hard-fought draw the most plausible outcome.
Both teams are evenly matched in the early season, with no prior results to indicate dominance. Mainz's slight edge in organization and HSV's historical advantage in this fixture balance out, making a draw the most plausible single outcome, though a narrow home win is marginally favored.
HSV have home advantage and thrashed Mainz in this exact fixture last season, but both sides are still seeking their first goal and win after matchday 1, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw is very live. Mainz's marginally stronger squad keeps an away win almost as likely as a home one.
HSV recorded their biggest Bundesliga win in this fixture last season and enjoy home advantage at Volksparkstadion; Mainz drew their opener at Paderborn and are without new signing Eric Martel, suggesting a slow start.
Home advantage and HSV’s strong result in this fixture last season slightly favor the hosts, but Mainz appear competitive enough to keep the matchup close. With little current-season evidence available, a low-margin draw is the most likely exact scoreline.
HSV enters at home chasing a third straight win and recorded a dominant victory over Mainz in this fixture last October, giving them a psychological and tactical edge at the Volksparkstadion. Mainz drew their opener against Paderborn and have Stefan Posch available but must wait for Eric Martel's debut, slightly weakening their midfield as they visit a confident HSV side.
Both sides remain goalless after MD1 (HSV 0-2 loss at Dortmund, Mainz 0-0 vs Paderborn) with Mainz especially solid defensively under Fischer; HSV boosted by deadline signings and home debut but still integrating, making a low-scoring draw the most probable single outcome amid even H2H and second-season caution for the hosts.
Neither team has scored yet this season after Matchday 1, pointing to a cautious, low-scoring contest. HSV's home advantage and strong record in this fixture last term roughly balances Mainz's superior squad depth and tactical organisation under Fischer, making a draw the single most likely outcome.
HSV enjoy home advantage at Volksparkstadion where they thrashed Mainz 4-0 last season, while Mainz are missing five key players including Hollerbach, Kohr, and Nebel to injury. However, HSV themselves are a lower-half side coming off a loss, keeping the match relatively competitive.
Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05