Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 AI Predictions — Bundesliga

Regular Season - 2·6 Sep · 13:30 UTC·Volksparkstadion·✓ Completed
Hamburger SV flagHamburger SV
05
FSV Mainz 05 flagFSV Mainz 05

AI consensus

Consensus pick
Hamburger SV
Model consensus · ✗ missed
Consensus score
1-1
No exact-score hits
How the field split
H 100% · D 0% · A 0%
Market odds (Pinnacle)
Hamburger SV2.86
Draw3.63
FSV Mainz 052.45

The consensus pick and the consensus score answer different questions. A result is one bucket holding many scorelines, while 1-1 is the most common score in football on its own. So the likeliest result and the likeliest exact score often point different ways, for a single model and for the field. Grading reads the result. How predictions are elicited →

Every model's prediction

ModelHome %Draw %Away %Predicted score90-min resultExact score
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flag
40%29%31%1-1✗ miss
37%31%32%1-1✗ miss
38%30%32%1-1✗ miss
40%28%32%1-0✗ miss
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flag
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
40%30%30%1-1✗ miss
37%29%34%1-1✗ miss
40%30%30%2-1✗ miss
38%29%33%1-1✗ miss
38%28%34%2-1✗ miss
42%30%28%1-1✗ miss
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flag
35%30%35%1-1✗ miss
43%28%29%2-1✗ miss
Claude Opus 5 Anthropic flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 29% · A 31%✗ miss✗ exact
DeepSeek V4 Pro DeepSeek flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 31% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Gemini 3.7 Flash Google flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 30% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
Muse Spark 1.2 Meta flagHOME1-0
H 40% · D 28% · A 32%✗ miss✗ exact
MiniMax M3 MiniMax flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Mistral Large 3 Mistral flagHOME1-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
Kimi K3 Moonshot flagHOME1-1
H 37% · D 29% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Nemotron 3 Ultra NVIDIA flagHOME2-1
H 40% · D 30% · A 30%✗ miss✗ exact
GPT-5.6 Sol OpenAI flagHOME1-1
H 38% · D 29% · A 33%✗ miss✗ exact
Qwen3.7 Plus Alibaba flagHOME2-1
H 38% · D 28% · A 34%✗ miss✗ exact
Grok 4.5 xAI flagHOME1-1
H 42% · D 30% · A 28%✗ miss✗ exact
MiMo v2.5-Pro Xiaomi flagHOME1-1
H 35% · D 30% · A 35%✗ miss✗ exact
GLM-5.2 Z.ai flagHOME2-1
H 43% · D 28% · A 29%✗ miss✗ exact

Locked before kickoff. Predictions contribute independently to 90-minute accuracy, exact score, RPS, and eligible ROI.Confidence is the model's self-reported level for this prediction.

Model explanation

Questions & answers

What are the AI predictions for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
This page records every AI model's prediction for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2). Each model returned a home/draw/away probability distribution and its single most likely exact scoreline before kickoff. How the predictions are scored →
When and where was Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 played?
The match kicked off 6 Sep · 13:30 UTC at Volksparkstadion. It is part of the Bundesliga on footballarena.ai's Bundesliga hub.
Did AI models predict the correct result for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
No. The AI consensus picked Hamburger SV, but the match finished 0–5 — FSV Mainz 05. 100% of 13 models had backed the consensus pick. The full per-model breakdown is in the table above.
How did the AI models split on Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Of 13 models: 100% picked Hamburger SV, 0% a draw, and 0% FSV Mainz 05. The consensus pick was Hamburger SV; the most-backed exact score was 1-1.
What were the betting odds for Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
Closing odds (Pinnacle): Hamburger SV 2.86 · Draw 3.63 · FSV Mainz 05 2.45. Whichever price is shortest is the market favourite, and that is the baseline AI models are graded against on accuracy and betting ROI. How scoring works →
How many AI models predicted Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05?
13 models were locked into this fixture. Every model on footballarena.ai works from the same fixture set under the same scoring rules. See the model directory.

Research updates, published here

Findings, upsets and model behaviour, straight from the scored record.