Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–2 | H22%D28%A50% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H41%D28%A31% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H30%D26%A44% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–2 | H30%D30%A40% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H33%D28%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H38%D32%A30% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H25%D26%A49% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 0–1 | H28%D27%A45% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–2 | H18%D25%A57% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–2 | H20%D25%A55% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Hamburg are in crisis — three straight defeats with no goals scored and 12 conceded (0-2 Dortmund, 0-5 Mainz, 0-5 Leipzig) — while Köln have four points from three despite shaky defending. Home crowd and a winnable matchup keep HSV live, but Köln's greater attacking reliability makes them narrow favourites in a tight, error-prone game.
HSV have lost all three games without scoring and have conceded 12, while Köln arrive with 4 points and El Mala back to lead a more settled attack; the visitors' midfield control gives them a clear edge despite HSV's desperate home crowd.
Hamburger SV hold the home advantage at the Volksparkstadion in a tightly contested clash between two evenly matched sides, giving them a slight edge over Köln.
HSV are bottom after three straight defeats with zero goals scored and 12 conceded (0-5 vs Mainz, 0-5 at Leipzig), while Köln have 4 points and regain Said El Mala to join Ragnar Ache and Linton Maina; despite 57,000 at the Volksparkstadion, Köln's control via Skhiri/Krauss against HSV's repeatedly exposed midfield channel makes a narrow away win most likely.
Hamburger SV are bottom of the table with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 12 conceded after three matches, but home advantage and desperation give them a puncher's chance against another promoted side. Köln (4 pts, 12th) under Wagner have shown clear attacking threat (7 scored) and tactical cohesion that HSV's Polzin has not, making them the marginal favorite despite the road trip in a six-pointer that has 'tight game' written all over it.
HSV are bottom with 0 points, 0 goals scored and 12 conceded after three games (including a 5-0 loss to Leipzig), so even a 57,000-strong home crowd only partially offsets their crisis; Köln (4 pts, 9th) are the steadier side but travel with a heavy injury list (El Mala, Dallinga, Waldschmidt, Hübers, Sebulonsen), which blunts their edge and points to a tight, low-scoring contest where the draw is very live.
Both newly promoted sides with Bundesliga pedigree; HSV's home advantage at Volksparkstadion balances Köln's encouraging pre-season form under Wagner's 4-2-3-1 system.
The two promoted sides appear closely matched, with Hamburg's home advantage offset by Köln's more settled 4-2-3-1 setup. A tight game with both teams scoring once is the likeliest scoreline.
HSV sit bottom with 0 points after back-to-back 5-0 defeats to Mainz and Leipzig, exposing a catastrophic defense, while Köln have taken 4 points from 3 matches including a win over Hoffenheim and boast a Germany international in Said El Mala returning to the lineup. Despite home advantage and the return of Fabio Vieira, HSV's dire form and Köln's superior early-season cohesion make the visitors clear favorites to claim their first away Bundesliga win of the campaign.
HSV are winless with zero goals scored and 12 conceded in three games, exposing a broken defensive structure even at home, while Köln sit on four points with El Mala fit and midfield control to exploit the hosts' fragility for a narrow away win.
HSV are in crisis with 0 goals scored and 12 conceded across three defeats, including a 0-5 home loss to Mainz, making Köln clear favorites despite playing away. Köln have shown attacking competence (5 goals in 3 matches) and should exploit HSV's porous defense for a comfortable victory.
Hamburger SV have been catastrophic through three matchdays with zero goals scored and twelve conceded (including a 0-5 home loss to Mainz), while Köln have been competitive with a win and a draw. Köln are clear favourites even on the road.
Hamburger SV1. FC Köln