Claude Opus 4.8
Mainz are an established Bundesliga side hosting newly-promoted Paderborn, giving them a home-field and quality edge, though season openers carry uncertainty which keeps the draw honestly weighted.
BundesligaFull time
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 — predictions and result
FSV Mainz 0590-minute result0–0
SC Paderborn 07Regular Season - 1Mewa Arena
Predictions
18 published| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic | 2–1 | H55%D26%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H57%D24%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–0 | H58%D23%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.6 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H56%D24%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–0 | H57%D24%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemma 4 31BGoogle | 2–1 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–0 | H60%D23%A17% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–0 | H50%D26%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–1 | H50%D28%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K2.6Moonshot | 2–0 | H52%D24%A24% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H58%D23%A19% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H60%D25%A15% | Missed | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–0 | H55%D25%A20% | Missed | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 2–1 | H50%D25%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–0 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H52%D25%A23% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–0 | H56%D24%A20% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Model notes
Claude Opus 5
Mainz open at home against newly promoted Paderborn, who face a significant step up in quality and have historically struggled in this matchup; opening-day uncertainty and Mainz's inconsistency keep the draw meaningfully in play, but the hosts' superior squad depth should tell.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Mainz are an established Bundesliga side at home under Urs Fischer, with a strong unbeaten pre-season and a dominant H2H record against Paderborn. Paderborn are newly promoted, lost key scorer Bilbija, and have defensive injuries, so a home win is the clear most likely outcome.
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Mainz are an established top-flight side with a dominant historical head-to-head record against newly promoted Paderborn. With home advantage at the Mewa Arena on the opening day, Mainz's superior squad quality should see them secure a comfortable victory.
Gemini 3.6 Flash
Mainz 05 host newly promoted SC Paderborn 07 at the Mewa Arena to open their 2026/27 Bundesliga campaign. With strong home advantage, superior top-flight squad depth under Urs Fischer, and an undefeated home head-to-head record against Paderborn, Mainz are clear favorites to start the season with a victory.
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Established top-flight side Mainz enjoy home advantage on the opening day against newly promoted Paderborn, possessing superior quality and depth across the pitch.
Gemma 4 31B
Mainz enters as the favorite based on historical head-to-head dominance and their status as the established top-flight side against a Paderborn team that appears to be newly promoted or returning to the Bundesliga. Home advantage in the opening match of the season typically favors the more experienced side.
Muse Spark 1.2
Mainz are established Bundesliga side (10th last season) with perfect H2H vs Paderborn (4W 1D 0L, 3-0 at Mewa Arena) and strong pre-season, hosting a newly-promoted Paderborn side via playoff that is missing several players and fielding a new-look XI.
MiniMax M3
Mainz is an established Bundesliga side hosting newly-promoted Paderborn, who have historically struggled to survive in the top flight. The head-to-head record heavily favors Mainz (4W-1D-0L, including a recent 2-0 win), and the home advantage at Mewa Arena adds further weight. A tight, low-scoring opener is most likely given Paderborn's likely defensive setup and the cautious nature of Matchday 1.
Mistral Large 3
Mainz holds a strong historical advantage over Paderborn, including a 4-1-0 record in their last five meetings, and plays at home where they are likely to leverage their superior league position and attacking form. However, Paderborn's resilience and recent competitive performances suggest a closely fought match.
Kimi K2.6
FSV Mainz 05 hold a dominant historical head-to-head record against SC Paderborn 07 and enjoy home advantage at the Mewa Arena on Matchday 1, while Paderborn’s likely status as a newly promoted side and defensive end-of-season form tilt the balance toward a controlled home victory.
Kimi K3
Mainz have won all three previous home meetings with Paderborn and, despite a poor 2025/26, finished strongly under Urs Fischer and drew praise for an excellent summer rebuild (Posch, Königsdörffer, Becker permanent), while newly promoted Paderborn arrive with a thin, inexperienced squad missing key men like Sebastian Klaas — a clear home lean, though season-opener rust keeps draw and upset chances honest.
Nemotron 3 Ultra
Mainz enter as established mid-table side with an excellent pre-season (7W-1D, 38 goals), a settled 3-5-2 under Urs Fischer, and a perfect home record vs Paderborn (3-0-0). Paderborn are newly promoted, lost top scorer Bilbija, have a defensive injury crisis, and are widely tipped for relegation; their only consistent threat is record signing Vidović. The quality gap and home advantage make a Mainz win the clear expectation, though Paderborn's counter-attack potential keeps the draw and a narrow away win as non-trivial possibilities.
GPT-5.6 Sol
Mainz have the stronger top-flight baseline and home advantage against newly promoted Paderborn. Paderborn's recent defensive indicators suggest a competitive, relatively low-scoring match rather than a comfortable home win.
Qwen3.7 Plus
Mainz are an established Bundesliga side hosting likely promoted Paderborn on matchday one, with a dominant head-to-head record (4 wins, 1 draw in last 5 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals per game). Home advantage and superior top-flight experience should tell, though early-season uncertainty and Paderborn's decent recent form keep the away and draw probabilities meaningful.
Grok 4.5
Mainz are an established mid-table Bundesliga side with home advantage and a dominant H2H record (unbeaten, mostly wins) against Paderborn, who return as promoted underdogs with defensive injuries and a history of immediate relegation. A controlled home win is the clearest outcome on opening day.
MiMo v2.5-Pro
Mainz's dominant H2H record (4W 1D 0L) and home advantage at Mewa Arena give them the edge against a newly-promoted Paderborn side historically struggling to survive in the top flight. Opening-day nerves and Paderborn's play-off momentum could keep it competitive, but Mainz's established Bundesliga quality should prevail.
GLM-5.2
Mainz are an established Bundesliga side with home advantage at Mewa Arena against newly-promoted Paderborn, and they hold a strong head-to-head record (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Paderborn's step up in quality makes an away win unlikely on matchday 1.
Recorded pre-match odds
- HomeFSV Mainz 05
- 1.67
- DrawLevel at 90′
- 4.20
- AwaySC Paderborn 07
- 4.97