FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–2 | H31%D26%A43% | Correct | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 2–1 | H52%D27%A21% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H34%D28%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H48%D26%A26% | Missed | Missed |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H32%D29%A39% | Correct | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H30%D35%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H49%D26%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–1 | H28%D26%A46% | Correct | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 2–1 | H48%D27%A25% | Missed | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Missed | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H52%D26%A22% | Missed | Missed |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Frankfurt carry more attacking quality and squad depth than a Mainz side that has been rebuilding and has lost recent meetings, though the Mewa Arena keeps it competitive. Frankfurt's games are typically open, so a narrow away win with goals at both ends is the likeliest scoreline.
Mainz are unbeaten with two clean sheets and a 5-0 win at HSV, while Frankfurt are winless and have conceded seven goals in two league games; the derby's draw-heavy history at the Mewa Arena keeps the draw probability elevated.
Derby matches between Mainz and Eintracht Frankfurt are traditionally tight, highly competitive affairs. While Frankfurt boast greater attacking quality, Mainz's defensive organization and home advantage make a closely contested draw the most probable outcome.
Mainz are unbeaten and yet to concede (0-0 vs Paderborn, 5-0 at Hamburg) and sit 5th under Urs Fischer at the MEWA Arena, while Frankfurt are winless (1pt, 1-4 to Augsburg) under Adi Hütter despite leading the league in distance covered. Home defensive solidity and clinical finishing (5/5 big chances) vs Frankfurt's vulnerable defence makes a narrow home win most likely.
Eintracht Frankfurt are the slightly stronger side on squad quality and recent trajectory under Riera, but Mainz's home advantage at the MEWA Arena, the early-season matchday 3 uncertainty, and the closely-fought 1-0 result from the prior campaign's reverse fixture all point to a tight, low-scoring contest where a share of the points is the single most likely outcome.
Eintracht Frankfurt has shown tactical adaptability and defensive solidity under Albert Riera, while Mainz is still finding consistency. However, Mainz's home advantage and Frankfurt's recent struggles in carving out clear chances balance the probabilities, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Mainz are unbeaten with two clean sheets (0-0 vs Paderborn, 5-0 vs Hamburg) under Urs Fischer and have lost just once in 18 Bundesliga home meetings with Frankfurt (W7 D10), including a 2-1 win last March. Frankfurt, in transition under returning Adi Hütter after a summer squad overhaul, have one point from two and were beaten 4-1 by Augsburg, though individual quality (Doan, Götze, Uzun, Burkardt) keeps an away result live and the derby's draw-heavy history justifies a healthy draw probability.
Frankfurt won the previous meeting 1-0 and finished higher last season; Mainz home advantage partially offsets but Frankfurt's attacking options under Riera give them the edge.
Frankfurt appear to have the stronger attacking options and won the previous meeting 1-0, giving them a slight overall edge. Mainz’s home advantage and the typically tight nature of this matchup make a low-scoring draw the likeliest exact scoreline.
Eintracht Frankfurt enters as the stronger side, having beaten Mainz 1-0 in their most recent meeting and boasting a defensively solid setup under new manager Albert Riera, but Mainz at home in the early stages of the season can be competitive. Frankfurt's noted attacking limitations and the tight nature of this fixture make a narrow away edge with a draw the most likely single scoreline.
Mainz are unbeaten with a clean defensive record and just thrashed Hamburg 5-0, while Frankfurt sit winless after squandering leads and conceding heavily. Home advantage and superior early-season form under Fischer make a Mainz win the most likely outcome, though Frankfurt's early-goal threat keeps the scoreline competitive.
Mainz are the only Bundesliga side yet to concede this season, unbeaten in 12, and thrashed Hamburg 5-0 last week, while Frankfurt have leaked 7 goals in 2 league matches under Hütter's struggling second spell and sit winless on 1 point — home advantage at Mewa Arena further tips the scales.
Mainz are unbeaten in 12 matches, yet to concede this season, and have lost just one of their last 18 home meetings with Frankfurt (W7 D10). Frankfurt have been defensively poor under returning coach Adi Hütter, conceding seven goals in two league games, though their knack for early goals gives them a realistic chance of scoring.
FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt