FC Schalke 04
FSV Mainz 05| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 1–1 | H37%D29%A34% | Missed | Missed |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 0–1 | H28%D31%A41% | Correct | Exact |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 1–1 | H33%D29%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 0–1 | H31%D27%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 0–1 | H28%D30%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 1–1 | H35%D30%A35% | Missed | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 1–1 | H33%D30%A37% | Correct | Missed |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 1–1 | H30%D32%A38% | Correct | Missed |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H31%D29%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 0–1 | H28%D29%A43% | Correct | Exact |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–2 | H32%D28%A40% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 0–1 | H24%D34%A42% | Correct | Exact |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 0–1 | H27%D31%A42% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Schalke's early-season profile is a solid defence with a misfiring attack (blanked in three of four games), while Mainz have been inconsistent but carry the better attacking metrics; home advantage at the Veltins-Arena roughly cancels out Mainz's edge in quality, pointing to a tight, low-scoring game with a high draw chance.
Mainz's perfect away record and stronger attack contrast with Schalke's poor scoring run, but Schalke's solid home defence and strong H2H record make a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Schalke boast an organized defensive foundation at home but have struggled for offensive output in the early season. Mainz offer greater attacking punch, pointing towards a closely matched, low-scoring draw.
Mainz bring slightly better recent form (2W1D2L vs 1W2D2L) and more consistent scoring, while Schalke have been defensively organised but misfiring having failed to score in 3 of 4; home advantage keeps it close but favours a narrow away win in a low-scoring game.
Mainz arrive with the better recent form (2W-1D-2L vs Schalke's 1W-2D-2L) and have shown defensive solidity, while Schalke have failed to score in 3 of their 4 league matches and look misfiring in attack; Mainz's tendency to grow into games (38% of goals in the final 15 minutes) gives them an edge even away from home, with a low-scoring 0-1 the most plausible scoreline.
Both teams exhibit inconsistent form, with Mainz showing slightly better attacking metrics but Schalke relying on direct play and defensive solidity. A draw is a genuine possibility given their recent tendencies and balanced head-to-head dynamics.
Newly promoted Schalke are defensively well-organised but badly misfiring up front (failed to score in 3 of their last 4), while Mainz arrive with slightly better recent form and the stronger squad; home backing at the Veltins-Arena keeps Schalke competitive, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest where Mainz hold a narrow edge.
Schalke's attack has misfired (blanked in 3 of 4 competitive games) but they play direct at home; Mainz have better recent form (2W-1D-2L) and score heavily late (38% of goals in final 15 minutes) but concede regularly. The balance points to a tight, low-scoring draw.
Mainz have shown slightly stronger recent form and attacking output, while Schalke's direct style and home advantage keep this competitive. Both sides have conceded regularly, making a score draw the likeliest exact outcome despite a modest overall lean toward Mainz.
Schalke's attack is severely misfiring — failing to score in 3 of 4 competition games — while their rock-solid defence keeps games tight but low-scoring. Mainz are in better form (2W-1D-2L vs Schalke's 1W-2D-2L) and have stronger attacking metrics, making them slight favourites even away from home in what projects as a narrow, low-scoring affair.
Mainz arrive with slightly better recent form (2W1D2L vs Schalke's 1W2D2L) and more balanced attacking output, while Schalke's solid defensive organisation is offset by a misfiring attack that has struggled to convert chances. Home advantage keeps Schalke competitive but Mainz's edge in goal threat makes an away win the most likely single outcome.
Schalke have drawn both home Bundesliga games 0-0 with elite defensive structure but no goals, while Mainz average 2.6 goals per game and have the attacking quality (Tietz 3 goals) to eventually break through, though Schalke's organisation makes a low-scoring draw the main alternative.
Schalke are defensively solid at home (unbeaten in 16, two 0-0 draws this season) but have scored zero goals at Veltins-Arena and are missing key forwards, while Mainz have won all three away fixtures this campaign and possess the stronger attacking metrics despite a leaky defense.
FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05