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FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 — predictions and result

FC Augsburg
90-minute result3–0
FC Schalke 04
Regular Season - 1WWK Arena

Predictions

13 published · 1 missing
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H47%D26%A27%
CorrectMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H47%D28%A25%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemma 4 31BGoogle2–1
H45%D28%A27%
CorrectMissed
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta2–1
H46%D27%A27%
CorrectMissed
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–1
H55%D25%A20%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral2–1
H40%D28%A32%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–1
H50%D26%A24%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–0
H49%D28%A23%
CorrectMissed
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba2–1
H46%D26%A28%
CorrectMissed
GrokGrok 4.5xAI2–1
H47%D27%A26%
CorrectMissed
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–1
H45%D27%A28%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai2–1
H45%D27%A28%
CorrectMissed

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Augsburg have home advantage and Bundesliga continuity, while newly promoted Schalke bring an experienced but largely unchanged second-division squad adapting to top-flight level. Early-season uncertainty and Augsburg's inconsistency keep this close, so the margin is slim rather than comfortable.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Augsburg's home advantage and stronger Bundesliga squad make them marginal favourites, but promoted Schalke are organised and the WWK Arena H2H is notably draw-heavy, making a tight opener likely.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

FC Augsburg possess greater top-flight stability and home advantage at the WWK Arena against newly returned FC Schalke 04, making them the favorites to start their campaign with three points.

Gemma 4 31B

Augsburg holds a psychological advantage following a convincing 3-0 victory over Schalke in a recent DFB-Pokal meeting. While Schalke brings an experienced squad, Augsburg's home advantage at the WWK Arena makes them the favorites in this early-season clash.

Muse Spark 1.2

Augsburg have home advantage at the WWK Arena and beat Schalke 3-0 in the DFB-Pokal last season, while promoted Schalke needed extra-time to beat fourth-tier Hallescher FC and conceded heavily in friendlies vs Leeds/Real/Atalanta. Schalke's continuity (24/30 returning) and targeted additions (Gosens, Wöber, Tanaka) keep them competitive, so draw remains highly likely.

MiniMax M3

Augsburg at home is a clear favorite against newly-promoted Schalke, who bring the second-oldest squad in the Bundesliga and historically struggle in their return seasons. The recent DFB-Pokal head-to-head (3-0 Augsburg) further supports a home win, though the opening matchday typically produces tight, cagey contests so a one-goal margin is most plausible.

Mistral Large 3

Augsburg enters as slight favorites due to home advantage and recent dominance over Schalke in their last encounter, but Schalke's experienced squad and competitive nature in the Bundesliga make this a tightly contested match with a significant chance of a draw.

Kimi K3

Augsburg are an established, stable mid-table Bundesliga side under Manuel Baum playing at home, while Schalke arrive as 2. Bundesliga champions with the league's third-lowest squad value, key absences (Karaman doubtful, Lasme and Gantenbein out), and the typical step-up problem newly promoted teams face on opening day — though their experienced, cohesive squad keeps an upset or draw live.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Augsburg’s home advantage and greater recent top-flight continuity make them the likelier winners against newly promoted Schalke. Schalke’s experienced, largely retained squad should keep the match competitive, supporting a substantial draw probability.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Augsburg holds a distinct home advantage and established Bundesliga pedigree, while Schalke fields one of the league's oldest squads as a newly promoted side. Augsburg's strong historical home form against Schalke, including a recent 3-0 cup victory at the WWK ARENA, further supports a narrow home win on Matchday 1.

Grok 4.5

Augsburg finished a solid 9th last season and host as the established Bundesliga side with home advantage and recent cup form, while newly promoted Schalke (2. Bundesliga champions) face a step-up with key attacker Karaman doubtful and a survival-oriented squad.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Augsburg have home advantage at WWK ARENA and have historically dominated this fixture, including a 3-0 DFB-Pokal win over Schalke. Schalke return as a promoted side with an aging squad and are widely expected to struggle, making Augsburg slight favorites in this season opener.

GLM-5.2

Augsburg, as the established Bundesliga side at home under Baum, should be slight favorites, but Schalke's experienced squad and historically strong H2H record (even at WWK Arena) keeps this closer than a typical promoted-team-away fixture. Both sides showed unconvincing Pokal form, suggesting a tight opener.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeFC Augsburg
2.22
DrawLevel at 90′
3.72
AwayFC Schalke 04
3.18