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BundesligaFull time

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 — predictions and result

Borussia Dortmund
90-minute result3–0
SC Paderborn 07
Regular Season - 3Signal Iduna Park

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic3–0
H82%D11%A7%
CorrectExact
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek2–0
H78%D15%A7%
CorrectMissed
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle3–0
H77%D15%A8%
CorrectExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta3–0
H72%D18%A10%
CorrectExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax2–0
H68%D21%A11%
CorrectMissed
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral3–1
H65%D20%A15%
CorrectMissed
KimiKimi K3Moonshot2–0
H72%D17%A11%
CorrectMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA2–1
H62%D23%A15%
CorrectMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI3–0
H75%D15%A10%
CorrectExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba3–0
H76%D15%A9%
CorrectExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI3–0
H68%D20%A12%
CorrectExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi2–0
H68%D18%A14%
CorrectMissed
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai3–0
H77%D15%A8%
CorrectExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Dortmund at a full Signal Iduna Park are overwhelming favourites against a newly promoted Paderborn side whose budget and squad depth are the league's lowest; BVB's historical record against promoted teams is dominant. Paderborn defend in a compact block, which keeps the likeliest margin around two to three goals rather than a rout.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Borussia Dortmund are in strong form with four straight wins and have a clear quality edge at home, while promoted Paderborn have been solid defensively but have yet to score in their opening two Bundesliga matches.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Borussia Dortmund hold a substantial talent and depth advantage playing at Signal Iduna Park against newly-promoted Paderborn. The hosts should comfortably control possession and generate ample scoring chances.

Muse Spark 1.2

Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park have a huge quality and depth advantage over newly promoted Paderborn, who defend with structure but lack top-flight firepower. Dortmund's strong historical record against promoted sides (26 wins in 40) points to a comfortable home win, likely by multiple goals.

MiniMax M3

Dortmund's massive home advantage at Signal Iduna Park and the steep quality gap between a perennial Champions League side and a newly promoted Paderborn make a comfortable home win the most likely outcome. Historical data shows Dortmund winning 26 of 40 Bundesliga matches against newly promoted teams, and Paderborn's limited attacking threat away from home should keep the scoreline controlled at 2-0.

Mistral Large 3

Borussia Dortmund, a top-tier Bundesliga side, face a newly promoted SC Paderborn 07 team. Dortmund's historical dominance against promoted sides (65% win rate) and their stronger squad depth and attacking prowess make them clear favorites. Paderborn's defensive structure may limit chances, but Dortmund's firepower is likely to break through.

Kimi K3

Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park are strong favourites against newly promoted Paderborn, a profile of opponent BVB have beaten 26 times in 40 over the last decade. Paderborn's disciplined defensive structure should keep the margin respectable, but Dortmund's superior attacking quality makes a comfortable home win most likely.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Dortmund's strong home record against newly promoted sides (65% win rate historically) and Signal Iduna Park advantage outweigh Paderborn's resilient draw at Leipzig; early-season uncertainty keeps draw probability honest.

GPT-5.6 Sol

Dortmund’s substantial quality advantage and strong home setting make them clear favorites against newly promoted Paderborn. Paderborn’s disciplined structure may offer resistance, but Dortmund should create enough chances to win comfortably.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Borussia Dortmund are heavy favorites at Signal Iduna Park against newly promoted SC Paderborn, who are projected as bottom-of-the-table material. Dortmund historically win 65% of their matches against promoted sides, and the quality gap in squad depth and attacking talent should produce a comfortable home victory.

Grok 4.5

Dortmund are heavy home favorites against newly promoted Paderborn early in the season, with a strong historical record versus promoted sides and superior squad quality expected to produce a comfortable win.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Borussia Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park against newly promoted Paderborn represents a significant quality gap, with Dortmund historically dominant against promoted sides (26W in 40 such games over the last decade). Paderborn have defensive structure but lack the firepower to threaten consistently, making a comfortable Dortmund home win the most likely outcome.

GLM-5.2

Dortmund are on a four-match winning run with Guirassy in prolific form, while newly promoted Paderborn remain winless and goalless after two Bundesliga matches and have never beaten Dortmund in seven competitive meetings. Despite BVB's defensive injuries, Paderborn's attacking limitations make a comfortable home win the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
HomeBorussia Dortmund
1.23
DrawLevel at 90′
7.15
AwaySC Paderborn 07
10.74