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1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen — predictions and result

1. FC Köln
90-minute result1–1
Werder Bremen
Regular Season - 3RheinEnergieStadion

Predictions

13 published
Exact producing versions, predicted scorelines and home/draw/away probabilities. Result and scoreline are separate predictions under the original FA rules.
Model / versionScorelineHome / Draw / AwayOutcomeExact
AnthropicClaude Opus 5Anthropic2–1
H42%D27%A31%
MissedMissed
DeepSeekDeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek1–1
H40%D28%A32%
MissedExact
GoogleGemini 3.7 FlashGoogle1–1
H39%D29%A32%
MissedExact
MetaMuse Spark 1.2Meta1–1
H38%D27%A35%
MissedExact
MinimaxMiniMax M3MiniMax1–1
H40%D28%A32%
MissedExact
MistralMistral Large 3Mistral1–1
H35%D30%A35%
MissedExact
KimiKimi K3Moonshot3–1
H92%D5%A3%
MissedMissed
NvidiaNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA1–2
H30%D30%A40%
MissedMissed
OpenAIGPT-5.6 SolOpenAI1–1
H40%D29%A31%
MissedExact
QwenQwen3.7 PlusAlibaba1–1
H36%D30%A34%
MissedExact
GrokGrok 4.5xAI1–1
H38%D28%A34%
MissedExact
XiaomiMiMoMiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi1–1
H33%D33%A34%
MissedExact
Z.aiGLM-5.2Z.ai1–1
H36%D33%A31%
MissedExact

Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules

Model notes

Claude Opus 5

Two closely-matched mid-table sides, with Köln's advantage coming mainly from a loud RheinEnergieStadion where they traditionally raise their level, while Werder remain defensively leaky on the road but carry genuine attacking threat through Boniface and their pressing midfield. That combination points to an open, goal-friendly game with a narrow home edge and a well-above-average draw chance.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Köln's strong home/H2H record against Bremen and Werder's weak away form give the hosts a slight edge, but both defences are leaking goals and Bremen arrive with momentum from beating Leipzig, making 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Both sides enter this early-season fixture closely matched in overall quality and depth. With Köln holding home advantage but Werder Bremen offering solid attacking threat on the break, a tightly contested score draw is the most probable outcome.

Muse Spark 1.2

Sides are level on points with Werder only ahead on goal difference in 10th, so evenly matched mid-table clash at RheinEnergieStadion. Köln's home edge is tempered by a winless run and defensive vulnerability on both sides, while Werder's Boniface-led attack can exploit mistakes, making a tight 1-1 the most likely single scoreline.

MiniMax M3

Early-season Matchday 3 clash between two evenly matched mid-table sides, with Werder sitting just above Köln on goal difference in the prior campaign. Köln's home advantage is offset by a tepid recent run (no wins in their last five prior meeting, only six wins in 28), while Bremen's key attackers Boniface and Adeh make them dangerous on the break. A low-scoring draw at the RheinEnergieStadion is the most plausible single scoreline, with the home side marginally favoured overall.

Mistral Large 3

Both teams are in poor form, with Köln winless in their last five matches and Werder Bremen only marginally better in the standings. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and a shared struggle for consistency make a draw the most balanced outcome, though either side could edge it.

Kimi K3

Köln's home attacking punch through El Mala and Ache, plus Wagner's energizing midfield changes (Martel, Jóhannesson), should overwhelm a Werder side whose defensive solidity has wavered despite decent results; Bremen can nick a goal but Köln's edge at the RheinEnergieStadion points to a multi-goal home win.

Nemotron 3 Ultra

Werder Bremen arrive with momentum from a 3-1 win over RB Leipzig and Niclas Füllkrug in form, while Köln have lost 4-1 to Stuttgart and managed just one league win in seven outings; historically the fixture is perfectly balanced (40 wins each in 112 meetings), but Bremen's current edge and Köln's defensive frailty tilt the probabilities slightly toward the visitors.

GPT-5.6 Sol

These sides appear closely matched, with Köln’s home advantage offset by their uncertain defensive solidity and Werder’s attacking threat. A competitive, low-margin draw is the likeliest scoreline.

Qwen3.7 Plus

Both teams are level on points early in the season, setting up an evenly contested mid-table clash. Köln's home advantage is balanced by their recent tendency to draw, pointing towards a tight stalemate.

Grok 4.5

Early-season Bundesliga meeting with both sides level on zero points and no form data available; Köln's home edge is modest against a typically competitive Bremen side, making a low-scoring draw the single most likely 90-minute outcome.

MiMo v2.5-Pro

Both teams are level on points in midtable, making this a closely contested fixture; Köln's home advantage is offset by their poor recent form (no wins in last five, three draws and two losses), while Werder Bremen's attacking threat through Boniface should be enough to find the net, pointing to a likely draw between two evenly matched sides.

GLM-5.2

Both sides are evenly matched on 3 points with identical H2H records (40 wins each in 112 meetings) and significant defensive frailties — Köln have no clean sheet in 8 games while Bremen have lost 3 of their last 4 away matches. Köln's home advantage is offset by Bremen's momentum from a 3-1 win over Leipzig, making a tight draw the most likely outcome.

Recorded pre-match odds
Decimal odds · 90 minPinnacle
Home1. FC Köln
2.12
DrawLevel at 90′
3.74
AwayWerder Bremen
3.40