1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach| Model / version | Scoreline | Home / Draw / Away | Outcome | Exact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5Anthropic | 2–1 | H42%D27%A31% | Correct | Exact |
| DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek | 1–1 | H34%D36%A30% | Missed | Missed |
| Gemini 3.7 FlashGoogle | 2–1 | H40%D27%A33% | Correct | Exact |
| Muse Spark 1.2Meta | 2–1 | H39%D27%A34% | Correct | Exact |
| MiniMax M3MiniMax | 1–1 | H30%D34%A36% | Missed | Missed |
| Mistral Large 3Mistral | 2–2 | H35%D30%A35% | Correct | Missed |
| Kimi K3Moonshot | 2–1 | H44%D28%A28% | Correct | Exact |
| Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA | 2–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Exact |
| GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI | 1–1 | H38%D29%A33% | Correct | Missed |
| Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba | 1–2 | H34%D27%A39% | Missed | Missed |
| Grok 4.5xAI | 1–1 | H36%D28%A36% | Correct | Missed |
| MiMo v2.5-ProXiaomi | 1–1 | H40%D28%A32% | Correct | Missed |
| GLM-5.2Z.ai | 2–1 | H45%D27%A28% | Correct | Exact |
Outcome uses the highest probability. Exact uses the scoreline. Scoring rules
Köln have four more points than a winless, bottom-placed Gladbach who have shipped 17 goals in four games, but the hosts are without both first-choice strikers (Ache, Dallinga), have not won since matchday one and have no clean sheet in 18 league games, while Blessin's new-manager bounce and Gladbach's strong recent derby record (unbeaten in the last two meetings) keep this close. Expect an open, high-scoring Rhine derby with a narrow home edge.
Rhineland derby between two struggling, leaky teams: Köln are missing senior strikers Dallinga and Ache, while Gladbach arrive with a new coach after four straight defeats, making a nervy score draw the most likely outcome.
In this intense Rheinderby, Köln's home advantage gives them a narrow edge in what promises to be an open, attacking contest against a transitional Gladbach side.
Rhineland derby at RheinEnergie gives Köln a slight edge with their front-foot, high-scoring style, but leaky defence tempers it against Gladbach's strong recent away form (4 wins in last 6 away) and new-manager bounce under Alexander Blessin plus favourable recent H2H.
Both sides enter this Rhineland derby in shaky form with defensive vulnerabilities, but Mönchengladbach's new-manager bounce under Blessin and their strong recent record against Köln (4 wins in last 6 away meetings) nudges them slightly ahead, while Köln's home advantage and the tight nature of relegation six-pointers keep the draw firmly in play.
This Rhineland derby features two teams struggling near the relegation zone, with Mönchengladbach showing a slight edge in recent form and head-to-head history, but Köln's attacking approach and defensive vulnerabilities make a high-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
Rhine derby relegation six-pointer: Köln (13th) host bottom-placed Gladbach, who have lost all four games and conceded a record 16 goals, but just hired Alexander Blessin and had the full international break for a defensive reset — a classic new-manager-bounce spot. Köln's home crowd, more settled squad and Gladbach's absentees (Honorat, Kühn, Castrop) tilt it toward the hosts, though Gladbach's strong recent derby record and both teams' leaky defenses keep the draw and away win very live.
Köln host the league's worst defence (Gladbach have conceded 16 in 4 games) but miss both first-choice strikers Ache and Dallinga; Gladbach's new manager Blessin gets a bounce but is crippled by injuries to Honorat, Kühn, Castrop and Leopold on the flanks. Derby volatility and both sides' defensive frailties make a high-scoring home win the likeliest single outcome, with a decent draw probability.
Home advantage gives Köln a narrow edge, but defensive concerns and Gladbach’s encouraging away record make this derby finely balanced. The rivalry and limited evidence of a clear quality gap support a relatively high draw probability.
This Rhineland derby is framed as a relegation battle with both sides struggling, but Gladbach hold a historical edge over Köln and benefit from a new-manager bounce under Alexander Blessin, complemented by a strong recent away record (4 wins in last 6 on the road). Köln's leaky defense and tendency to be involved in open, high-scoring games make them vulnerable at home despite derby intensity, giving Gladbach a narrow edge in a likely multi-goal contest.
Both sides are struggling early (Köln 13th on 4 pts, Gladbach bottom with 0 after four straight losses), but Gladbach's new manager Blessin brings bounce potential in a historically favorable derby H2H while Köln miss both starting strikers; a tight low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome.
Köln are on a three-match draw streak and have failed to win in their last eight, but home advantage in the Rhineland derby and Gladbach's position rock-bottom (18th) with significant injury absentees tilts a tight contest toward parity. Both sides are defensively fragile and low on confidence, making a score draw the most likely outcome.
Köln hold a clear form advantage at home against a Gladbach side bottom with 0 points and 16 goals conceded in 4 matches, but Gladbach's new-manager bounce under Blessin, their historical H2H dominance (14W to Köln's 7W), and their ability to score (9 goals in 4 games) keep this competitive enough to limit Köln's edge.
1. FC KölnBorussia Mönchengladbach